Inkling's Public Prediction Markets

Inkling Public Marketplace

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Who will become the Dutch prime minister after the elections of June 9th 2010

What do you think?

Current leading prediction:

There is a 26.5% chance "Jan Peter Balkenende" will be the answer.

$1.73 today

Today: up $2.11

Who will win the 2010 FIFA World Cup?

Current leading prediction:

There is a 27.7% chance "Spain" will be the answer.

Today: unchanged

Will the US relapse into negative GDP growth during 2010?

Current leading prediction:

Chances are 26.4%

Today: up $1.85

Will any of the eight AAA rated countries lose its top credit rating in 2010?

Current leading prediction:

Chances are 37.2%

Today: up $0.50

Which of these companies will have an IPO in 2010?

Current leading prediction:

There is a 54.0% chance "Facebook" will be the answer.

Today: up $0.49

Will the Beatles catalog finally make it to iTunes in 2010?

Current leading prediction:

Chances are 55.5%

Today: unchanged

Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test on or before 31 Dec 2010?

Current leading prediction:

Chances are 10.5%

Today: unchanged

Which network will land Conan?

Current leading prediction:

There is a 57.0% chance "Fox" will be the answer.

Today: unchanged

The St. Louis Rams will do what with the first pick in the NFL draft?

Current leading prediction:

There is a 29.6% chance "Keep the pick and select Sam Bradford" will be the answer.

Activity

Where will the Dow finish at the end of March 2010?

The current predicted value is 10,500.00.

Pegasus899 made a trade. 4 minutes ago

Who will win the 2012 U.S. Republican Party presidential nomination?

Mitt Romney currently leads with a chance of 17.6%.

grandmasterfunky made 3 trades. Most recent 6 minutes ago

Who will win the 2010 Formula 1 Bahrain Grand Prix ?

Jenson Button currently leads with a chance of 10.8%.

gerdpiber made a trade. 6 minutes ago

Will IT departments vanish by 2013 as companies are moving to Software as a Service model?

The current opinion is Probably not ($45.02).

gerdpiber expressed an opinion. 10 minutes ago
MFWinAlford expressed an opinion. about 2 hours ago
gire expressed an opinion. about 2 hours ago

Will China hold the most successful World Expo?

The current opinion is Probably ($53.50).

gerdpiber expressed an opinion. 10 minutes ago
grandmasterfunky expressed an opinion. 12 minutes ago
lpalli expressed an opinion. about 2 hours ago

Which baseball players will have a job at the beginning of the 2010 MLB season?

Johnny Damon currently leads with a chance of 97.8%.

Twins Auditor made a trade. 16 minutes ago
jaysabi made 5 trades. Most recent about 8 hours ago

Who will be the 2010 MLB Playoff Teams?

New York Yankees currently leads with a chance of 68.3%.

MFWinAlford made 4 trades. Most recent about 1 hour ago

How many games will each MLB team win in Spring Training in 2010?

San Francicsco Giants currently leads with a predicted value of 18.00.

MFWinAlford made 22 trades. Most recent about 1 hour ago
MFWinAlford made a comment: My apologies. I went back through the list of questions, and I see you put this out there a long time ago! So, a good way to draw attention to a neglected... about 2 hours ago
MFWinAlford made a comment: Can you cite your deciding authority? I assume mlb.com? http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/exhibition.jsp I often trade in my own markets, but I usually... about 3 hours ago

More...

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Most Active Questions This Week

expand all

Who will win the 2012 U.S. Republican Party presidential nomination?

Trades: 9000 • 29 Comments • Politics and Current Events • Creator: mvguy • Ends: Sep 01, 2012 @ 12:00 PM PDT

Which teams will be the #1 seeds for the Men's NCAA Basketball Tournament

Trades: 477 • 2 Comments • Sports • Creator: jsachs • Ends: Mar 13, 2010 @ 11:59 PM PST

Which NHL team will win the 2009-10 Stanley Cup?

Trades: 737 • Sports • Creator: chelseaboys • Ends: Jun 01, 2010 @ 12:37 PM PDT

Who will become the Dutch prime minister after the elections of June 9th 2010

Trades: 55 • Politics and Current Events • Creator: wllp • Ends: Jun 09, 2010 @ 12:00 PM PDT

Which team will win the NBA Championship for the 2009-2010 season?

Trades: 677 • Sports • Creator: Hugh Betcha • Ends: Apr 16, 2010 @ 08:00 PM PDT

Which of the following NHL Eastern Conference teams will make the playoffs in the 2009-2010 season?

Trades: 135 • Sports • Creator: Garth Brewer • Ends: Apr 11, 2010 @ 08:06 AM PDT

When will the next Australian Federal Election be held?

Trades: 999 • 8 Comments • Politics and Current Events • Creator: CraigThomler • Ends: Jan 31, 2011 @ 03:31 AM PST

Which teams will be the #1 seeds for the Women's NCAA Basketball Tournament

Trades: 276 • Sports • Creator: jsachs • Ends: Mar 13, 2010 @ 11:59 PM PST

Which NHL team will win the 2010 President's Trophy?

Trades: 101 • Sports • Creator: chelseaboys • Ends: Apr 03, 2010 @ 08:09 AM PDT

Who will win Superbowl XLV?

Trades: 238 • Sports • Creator: shanafme • Ends: Feb 06, 2011 @ 10:38 AM PST

Will the Apple iPad outsell the Amazon Kindle in 2010?

87.4%

$0.45

Trades: 37 • 1 Comment • Consumer Product Development • Creator: meganbwells • Ends: Mar 11, 2010 @ 10:04 PM PST

Who will win the Spring 2010 version of Dancing with the Stars?

Trades: 35 • 1 Comment • Entertainment • Creator: chelseaboys • Ends: May 24, 2010 @ 05:30 PM PDT

Who will win the 2010 Iditarod?

Trades: 97 • Sports • Creator: wstritt • Ends: Mar 13, 2010 @ 08:00 AM PST

When will the US federal minimum wage be increased above $7.25/hour?

Trades: 174 • 8 Comments • Politics and Current Events • Creator: jahm • Ends: Jan 01, 2011 @ 12:00 AM PST

Which of these NBA teams will reach 50 wins in the 09/10 regular season?

Trades: 382 • Sports • Creator: BobM • Ends: Mar 28, 2010 @ 10:52 AM PDT

Where will the Dow finish at the end of March 2010?

The current predicted value is 10,500.00.

Who will win the 2012 U.S. Republican Party presidential nomination?

Mitt Romney currently leads with a chance of 17.6%.

Who will win the 2010 Formula 1 Bahrain Grand Prix ?

Jenson Button currently leads with a chance of 10.8%.

Will IT departments vanish by 2013 as companies are moving to Software as a Service model?

The current opinion is Probably not ($45.02).

Will China hold the most successful World Expo?

The current opinion is Probably ($53.50).

Which baseball players will have a job at the beginning of the 2010 MLB season?

Johnny Damon currently leads with a chance of 97.8%.

Who will be the 2010 MLB Playoff Teams?

New York Yankees currently leads with a chance of 68.3%.

How many games will each MLB team win in Spring Training in 2010?

San Francicsco Giants currently leads with a predicted value of 18.00.

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