Inkling's Public Prediction Markets

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How many iPads will Apple sell in 2010?

What do you think?

Current leading prediction:

The predicted value is 7,533,000.0

$4.50 today

Analysts are shying away from predicting how many iPads Apple will sell this year because it's an entirely new product category for them. What does the Inkling community think?

Today: unchanged

Who will win the 2012 U.S. Republican Party presidential nomination?

Current leading prediction:

There is a 18.4% chance "Mitt Romney" will be the answer.

Today: unchanged

Will Lloyd Blankfein, CEO of Goldman Sachs, lose his job in 2010?

Current leading prediction:

Chances are 17.4%

Today: unchanged

When will the BP oil spill be completely stopped or captured?

Current leading prediction:

The current predicted date is July 15, 2010

Today: unchanged

Who will win the 2010 U.S. Senate election in Arizona?

Current leading prediction:

There is a 85.3% chance "John McCain (R)" will be the answer.

Today: up $5.06

Who will Alex Rodriguez hit his 600th career home run against in the 2010 season?

Current leading prediction:

There is a 30.3% chance "Tampa Bay Rays" will be the answer.

Today: up $0.02

What will be the repercussions of the ethics charges against Charles Rangel?

Current leading prediction:

There is a 70.0% chance "Charlie censured/reprimanded by House " will be the answer.

Today: unchanged

Who will be the 2010 MLB Playoff Teams?

Current leading prediction:

There is a 88.6% chance "New York Yankees" will be the answer.

Activity

Which will be the top 10 films at the U.S. box office in 2010?

6. Shrek 4 ($235M) currently leads with a chance of 97.5%.

mvguy made 3 trades. Most recent about 2 hours ago

MLB: Which of these potential '11 free agents will be traded by the 7-31-10 deadline?

Jorge Cantu 3B Fla currently leads with a chance of 96.5%.

Garth Brewer made 3 trades. Most recent about 2 hours ago
Tom501 made a trade. about 6 hours ago

When will Alex Rodriguez hit his 600th home run?

July 16-31 currently leads with a chance of 73.8%.

twhitezell made a trade. about 3 hours ago
MFWinAlford made 3 trades. Most recent about 4 hours ago

How long will Lindsay Lohan spend in jail?

6 to 15 days currently leads with a chance of 70.6%.

twhitezell made a trade. about 3 hours ago

Who will Alex Rodriguez hit his 600th career home run against in the 2010 season?

Tampa Bay Rays currently leads with a chance of 30.3%.

Hugh Betcha made 2 trades. Most recent about 3 hours ago
MFWinAlford made 3 trades. Most recent about 4 hours ago

How many iPads will Apple sell in 2010?

The current predicted value is 7,533,000.00.

MFWinAlford made a trade. about 4 hours ago

How many home runs will A-Rod hit in the 2010 regular season?

Less than 30 currently leads with a chance of 72.8%.

MFWinAlford made 2 trades. Most recent about 4 hours ago

NFL: Between Chad 85 and T.O., will Chad 85 gain the most 2010 regular season receiving yards?

The current chance is 64.6%.

BobM made a trade. about 5 hours ago

NFL: Between Chad 85 and T.O., will Chad 85 catch more 2010 regular season passes?

The current chance is 66.4%.

BobM made a trade. about 5 hours ago

Who will win 2010-11 Heisman Trophy?

Any other outcome currently leads with a chance of 16.6%.

BobM made 3 trades. Most recent about 5 hours ago

College Football: How many regular season wins will each team achieve?

BYU >8 Wins currently leads with a chance of 61.8%.

BobM made 10 trades. Most recent about 5 hours ago

What month will have the strongest Eastern Pacific hurricane in 2010?

June currently leads with a chance of 42.1%.

MFWinAlford made a trade. about 6 hours ago

More...

News

Current News Sources

Inkling Prediction Market Solutions: News + Musings

Jul

2010

Show and hide categories of questions

A couple notable feature enhancements were released yesterday:First, you can now hide and show categories from the list of questions and Inkling will remember your preferences...

Jul

2010

Meeting their numbers

As a small business, we’re regularly being pitched by the “small business” segment of much larger companies. Their tactics range from simple emails announcing...

Jul

2010

Persistence at 17 - trading a cell phone for a porsche

Great story of a 17 year old kid putting in 2 years of bartering to turn a cell phone into a porsche. If you want to hear a similar tale that kind of started this type of...

Jul

2010

New and improved: stats page for each question

With the release of our new stats page a few weeks ago, we introduced the concept of an “Inkling expert” – someone that had traded in the right direction on...

Most Active Questions This Week

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Who will be the 2010 MLB Playoff Teams?

Trades: 2096 • 7 Comments • Entertainment • Creator: Best Record • Ends: October 01, 2010 @ 12:00am PDT

Dutch stock market: where will the AEX close on July 30, 2010

Trades: 77 • Business and Economy • Creator: job • Ends: July 30, 2010 @ 08:15am PDT

MLB: Which of these potential '11 free agents will be traded by the 7-31-10 deadline?

Trades: 127 • 7 Comments • Sports • Creator: chelseaboys • Ends: July 31, 2010 @ 12:59pm PDT

Welke coalitie wordt gevormd na de verkiezing? [Which coalition will govern the Netherlands after its election?]

Trades: 2849 • 433 Comments • Politics and Current Events • Creator: eco.nomie.nl • Ends: September 01, 2010 @ 01:32am PDT

Which MLB Teams will improve in the second half of the season?

Trades: 180 • 2 Comments • Sports • Creator: PhilCulp • Ends: September 30, 2010 @ 07:50am PDT

Who will Alex Rodriguez hit his 600th career home run against in the 2010 season?

Trades: 307 • 14 Comments • Sports • Creator: wstritt • Ends: October 03, 2010 @ 10:00am PDT

Who will become the Dutch first VICE prime minister after the elections of June 9th 2010

Trades: 292 • 10 Comments • Politics and Current Events • Creator: job • Ends: September 30, 2010 @ 08:42am PDT

How many iPads will Apple sell in 2010?

7,533,000.00

$4.50

Trades: 628 • 27 Comments • Computers and Internet • Creator: amsiegel • Ends: December 31, 2010 @ 05:00pm PST

College Football: How many regular season wins will each team achieve?

Trades: 28 • Sports • Creator: PhilCulp • Ends: November 06, 2010 @ 08:49pm PDT

Which MLB teams will win 90 games in the 2010 regular season?

Trades: 28 • 1 Comment • Sports • Creator: wstritt • Ends: October 03, 2010 @ 09:00am PDT

MLB: Which hitters will hit 40 or more Home Runs in 2010 regular season?

Trades: 120 • 2 Comments • Sports • Creator: chelseaboys • Ends: September 26, 2010 @ 02:22pm PDT

Which team will win the 2010 NL Wild Card?

Trades: 622 • Sports • Creator: grandmasterfunky • Ends: October 31, 2010 @ 11:59pm PDT

Which MLB teams will win 95 games in the 2010 regular season?

Trades: 26 • 1 Comment • Sports • Creator: wstritt • Ends: October 03, 2010 @ 09:00am PDT

Which of these sports events will occur first?

Trades: 24 • 4 Comments • Entertainment • Creator: PhilCulp • Ends: July 31, 2011 @ 07:59pm PDT

Which will be the top 10 films at the U.S. box office in 2010?

Trades: 1041 • 33 Comments • Entertainment • Creator: mvguy • Ends: December 31, 2010 @ 08:00am PST

	Business and Economy
	Business of Inkling
	Computers and Internet
	Consumer Product Development
	Entertainment
	Health
	Politics and Current Events
	Regional
	Science
	Society and Culture
	Sports

Which will be the top 10 films at the U.S. box office in 2010?

6. Shrek 4 ($235M) currently leads with a chance of 97.5%.

MLB: Which of these potential '11 free agents will be traded by the 7-31-10 deadline?

Jorge Cantu 3B Fla currently leads with a chance of 96.5%.

When will Alex Rodriguez hit his 600th home run?

July 16-31 currently leads with a chance of 73.8%.

How long will Lindsay Lohan spend in jail?

6 to 15 days currently leads with a chance of 70.6%.

Who will Alex Rodriguez hit his 600th career home run against in the 2010 season?

Tampa Bay Rays currently leads with a chance of 30.3%.

How many iPads will Apple sell in 2010?

The current predicted value is 7,533,000.00.

How many home runs will A-Rod hit in the 2010 regular season?

Less than 30 currently leads with a chance of 72.8%.

NFL: Between Chad 85 and T.O., will Chad 85 gain the most 2010 regular season receiving yards?

The current chance is 64.6%.

NFL: Between Chad 85 and T.O., will Chad 85 catch more 2010 regular season passes?

The current chance is 66.4%.

Who will win 2010-11 Heisman Trophy?

Any other outcome currently leads with a chance of 16.6%.

College Football: How many regular season wins will each team achieve?

BYU >8 Wins currently leads with a chance of 61.8%.

What month will have the strongest Eastern Pacific hurricane in 2010?

June currently leads with a chance of 42.1%.

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