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Best Record made a comment: FiveThirtyEight gives Romney an 85% chance of winning. 19 minutes ago
Best Record made a trade. 21 minutes ago
hallrick made a trade. about 1 hour ago

How will the January 2012 U.S. national unemployment number, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be compared to the 8.5% December 2011 reported level?

8.6% or Higher. currently leads with a chance of 39.83%

Best Record made 2 trades. Most recent 21 minutes ago
ChloeBurns made 2 trades. Most recent about 1 hour ago
jschlegelmilch made a trade. about 1 hour ago

When will President Saleh of Yemen arrive in the USA?

e. January 22 - 25 currently leads with a chance of 100.00%

wstritt made a comment: Looks like he is actually arriving Sunday, January... about 1 hour ago

Which new 2011 Fall TV series' will get renewed for a second season in 2012? ×2

New Girl (Fox) currently leads with a chance of 84.30%

jschlegelmilch made 3 trades. Most recent about 1 hour ago

Which Republican Presidential candidate will come in THIRD in the Florida primary on 31 January 2012?

Rick Santorum currently leads with a chance of 92.23%

DowntownKBH made a trade. about 1 hour ago
jschlegelmilch made 3 trades. Most recent about 2 hours ago
ecotax made a trade. about 2 hours ago

Which GOP Presidental candidate will win the Missouri convention to be held on Tuesday 2 June 2012?

Mitt Romney currently leads with a chance of 47.32%

jschlegelmilch made a trade. about 2 hours ago

NFL: How many more Super Bowl rings will Tom Brady and Peyton Manning (combined) win before retirement?

One currently leads with a chance of 50.32%

BobM made a trade. about 2 hours ago

Who will win the California GOP Presidential primary being held on 5 June 2012?

Mitt Romney currently leads with a chance of 80.04%

BobM made a trade. about 2 hours ago

NFL: Who will be the Chicago Bears next General Manager?

Other currently leads with a chance of 89.23%

BobM made a trade. about 2 hours ago

More...

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Current News Sources

Inkling Prediction Markets: News + Musings

Jan

2012

Your 5 Bullet Points

Last weekend I attended a funeral for a wonderful woman in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania. While funerals are of course sad affairs, when they’re for someone who has died of...

Jan

2012

"Gamifying" everything can backfire

Gamification has been all the rage recently. It’s assumed now that any social app and even new business app needs some form of gaming associated with them to incentivize...

Jan

2012

What the Bagel Man Saw - An Accidental Glimpse at Human Nature

I saw this old Stephen Dubner article from the New York Times Magazine pop up on Longform this week and thought it was a great story. A former economist decides to quit his job...

Dec

2011

Will you remember me?

A couple small updates to any Inkling site that is public (including our public site) that were long overdue.We’ve added a “remember me” checkbox to the login...

Most Active Questions This Week

Who will win the Florida GOP Presidential Primary being held on 31 January 2012?

Trades: 324 • 3 Comments • Politics and Current Events • Creator: SneakyPete • Ends: January 29, 2012 @ 09:59pm PST

When will the aviation color code of Kilauea rise from orange to red?

Trades: 1223 • 8 Comments • Science • Creator: onedave • Ends: December 31, 2012 @ 07:19am PST

By what PERCENTAGE will the winner win the Florida GOP Presidential Primary on 31 January 2012?

Trades: 169 • 1 Comment • Politics and Current Events • Creator: SneakyPete • Ends: January 29, 2012 @ 09:59pm PST

Who will be the Vice Presidential candidate on the Republican Ticket?

Trades: 101 • Politics and Current Events • Creator: loaldo • Ends: August 31, 2012 @ 05:16pm PDT

Who will win the 2012 U.S. Republican Party presidential nomination? ×8

Trades: 14314 • 63 Comments • Politics and Current Events • Creator: mvguy • Ends: September 01, 2012 @ 12:00pm PDT

What will the closing price be on these days in 2012 for Apple on the Nasdaq?

Trades: 439 • 1 Comment • Business and Economy • Creator: job • Ends: December 28, 2012 @ 09:40am PST

Who will win the Tennis Australian Open 2012? (Male)

Trades: 184 • Sports • Creator: RDW • Ends: January 29, 2012 @ 12:00pm PST

When will Newt Gingrich drop out of the 2012 GOP nomination contest?

Trades: 1205 • 16 Comments • Politics and Current Events • Creator: mvguy • Ends: August 29, 2012 @ 06:48pm PDT

NFL: 46 Props for Super Bowl XLVI - Part 1

Trades: 69 • 1 Comment • Sports • Creator: chelseaboys • Ends: February 05, 2012 @ 06:00pm PST

Which candidate will win the most Republican primaries/caucuses in January 2012?

Trades: 111 • 6 Comments • Politics and Current Events • Creator: JeffWinger • Ends: January 31, 2012 @ 12:00pm PST

Which movie will win the Oscar for the best picture?

Trades: 60 • Entertainment • Creator: lpalli • Ends: February 26, 2012 @ 04:00pm PST

NFL: 46 Props for Super Bowl XLVI - Part 2

Trades: 54 • Sports • Creator: chelseaboys • Ends: February 05, 2012 @ 06:00pm PST

Who will win Superbowl XLVI? ×1

Trades: 694 • 3 Comments • Sports • Creator: shanafme • Ends: February 05, 2012 @ 03:00pm PST

Which Republican Presidential candidate will come in THIRD in the Florida primary on 31 January 2012?

Trades: 57 • Politics and Current Events • Creator: MFWinAlford • Ends: January 30, 2012 @ 07:00pm PST

How many of the potential delegates (115) will the GOP Presidential candidate front runner have won following the January primary / caucus voting?

Trades: 323 • 57 Comments • Politics and Current Events • Creator: SneakyPete • Ends: January 29, 2012 @ 10:01am PST

List all active questions...

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Inkling Public Site

HOW THIS WORKS

Make a prediction

Use the money (inkles) you've been given to make predictions.

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's opinion is combined to form a prediction about what will happen.

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Mitt Romney currently leads with a chance of 93.25%

Novak Doković currently leads with a chance of 65.48%

Victoria Azarenka currently leads with a chance of 100.00%

* Mitt Romney currently leads with a chance of 89.09%

April - December 2012 currently leads with a chance of 52.89%

Aaron Rodgers currently leads with a chance of 57.01%

New England Patriots currently leads with a chance of 61.21%

Mitt Romney currently leads with a chance of 93.25%

8.6% or Higher. currently leads with a chance of 39.83%

e. January 22 - 25 currently leads with a chance of 100.00%

Which new 2011 Fall TV series' will get renewed for a second season in 2012? ×2

New Girl (Fox) currently leads with a chance of 84.30%

Rick Santorum currently leads with a chance of 92.23%

Mitt Romney currently leads with a chance of 47.32%

One currently leads with a chance of 50.32%

Mitt Romney currently leads with a chance of 80.04%

Other currently leads with a chance of 89.23%

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