Will U.S. Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska be found guilty of a felony before Nov. 4, 2008? (Inkling Markets Public Marketplace)

Will U.S. Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska be found guilty of a felony before Nov. 4, 2008?

Ends: 10/30/08 @ 12:00 PM PDT

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Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.

PREDICTIONS	CURRENT VALUE	TODAY
Yes	$71.02/ $100.00	(closed)

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Alaska corruption crime senator Stevens Ted trial

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market information

U.S. Sen Ted Stevens, R-Alaska, has been charged with failing to file reports on $250,000 in alleged corporate gifts. He has pushed to have his trial completed before the Nov. 4, 2008, elections.

This market will cash out at $100 if Stevens is found guilty of a felony before the polls open. It will cash out at $0 if that doesn’t happen, regardless of the reason, which could include acquittal, trial delays or dismissal of the charges.

If Stevens is found guilty by a jury, and the verdict is overturned, no matter how quickly, that still counts as a conviction. It also would count as a conviction if Stevens pleads guilty or nolo contendere to a felony.

A conviction or plea deal on a misdemeanor would not count as satisfaction of the market’s terms.

Trading may be suspended as news developments warrant prior to the closing of the market.