How many critical vulnerabilities will be addressed by Microsoft in their March, 2007, Security Bulletin cycle? (Inkling Markets Public Marketplace)

How many critical vulnerabilities will be addressed by Microsoft in their March, 2007, Security Bulletin cycle?

Ends: 03/14/07 @ 12:00 AM PDT

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Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.

PREDICTIONS	CURRENT VALUE	TODAY
0 or 1 Critical Bulletin in March 07	$75.44/ $100.00	(closed)
2 Critical Bulletins in March 07	$2.41/ $0.00	(closed)
3 Critical Bulletins in March 07	$3.60/ $0.00	(closed)
4 Critical Bulletins in March 07	$2.46/ $0.00	(closed)
5 Critical Bulletins in March 07	$8.03/ $0.00	(closed)
6 Critical Bulletins in March 07	$2.46/ $0.00	(closed)
7 Critical Bulletins in March 07	$3.20/ $0.00	(closed)
8+ Critical Bulletins in March 07	$2.37/ $0.00	(closed)

TAGS

microsoft security

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discussion

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sircu5 trades: 307 • markets run: 1 • member since: 10/21/06

Not that anyone seems to have missed it, but I just noticed that there’s no option for “no critical vulnerabilities”…

written: Mar 01 2007 @ 03:04 AM PST | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

jnazario trades: 4 • markets run: 4 • member since: 02/26/07

1crit will be equivilent to 0crit … you’re right and this is an oversight.

written: Mar 08 2007 @ 12:59 PM PST

market information

This market explores the number of “Critical” security bulletins that Microsoft will be releasing in March, 2007. Microsoft releases bulletins every month and rates them as “Low”, “Medium”, “High” and “Critical”. This number is disclosed on the Friday before the second Tuesday of the month in the advance notification, but may change before the official release. Bulletins are released on the second Tuesday of the month. This number is always open to speculation.

stock information

0 or 1 Critical Bulletin in March 07

This stock says that Microsoft will release no security bulletins rated critical or exactly 1 security bulletin rated “Critical” in March, 2007. The next security bulletin advance notification is scheduled for March 8, 2007, and will outline information for the March 13, 2007 security bulletin release. The actual bulletins released on that Tuesday will be used to determine the actual answer for this market as those numbers can change after the preview. The advanced notification URL is http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/advance.mspx.

2 Critical Bulletins in March 07

This stock is for Microsoft releasing exactly 2 security bulletins rated “Critical” in March, 2007. The next security bulletin advance notification is scheduled for March 8, 2007, and will outline information for the March 13, 2007 security bulletin release. The actual bulletins released on that Tuesday will be used to determine the actual answer for this market as those numbers can change after the preview. The advanced notification URL is http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/advance.mspx.

3 Critical Bulletins in March 07

This stock is for Microsoft releasing exactly 3 security bulletins rated “Critical” in March, 2007. The next security bulletin advance notification is scheduled for March 8, 2007, and will outline information for the March 13, 2007 security bulletin release. The actual bulletins released on that Tuesday will be used to determine the actual answer for this market as those numbers can change after the preview. The advanced notification URL is http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/advance.mspx.

4 Critical Bulletins in March 07

This stock says that Microsoft will release exactly 4 security bulletins rated “Critical” in March, 2007. The next security bulletin advance notification is scheduled for March 8, 2007, and will outline information for the March 13, 2007 security bulletin release. The actual bulletins released on that Tuesday will be used to determine the actual answer for this market as those numbers can change after the preview. The advanced notification URL is http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/advance.mspx.

5 Critical Bulletins in March 07

This stock says that Microsoft will release exactly 5 security bulletins rated “Critical” in March, 2007. The next security bulletin advance notification is scheduled for March 8, 2007, and will outline information for the March 13, 2007 security bulletin release. The actual bulletins released on that Tuesday will be used to determine the actual answer for this market as those numbers can change after the preview. The advanced notification URL is http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/advance.mspx.

6 Critical Bulletins in March 07

This stock says that Microsoft will release exactly 6 security bulletins rated “Critical” in March, 2007. The next security bulletin advance notification is scheduled for March 8, 2007, and will outline information for the March 13, 2007 security bulletin release. The actual bulletins released on that Tuesday will be used to determine the actual answer for this market as those numbers can change after the preview. The advanced notification URL is http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/advance.mspx.

7 Critical Bulletins in March 07

This stock says that Microsoft will release exactly 7 security bulletins rated “Critical” in March, 2007. The next security bulletin advance notification is scheduled for March 8, 2007, and will outline information for the March 13, 2007 security bulletin release. The actual bulletins released on that Tuesday will be used to determine the actual answer for this market as those numbers can change after the preview. The advanced notification URL is http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/advance.mspx.

8+ Critical Bulletins in March 07

This stock says that Microsoft will release at least 8 security bulletins rated “Critical” in March, 2007, and possibly more. The next security bulletin advance notification is scheduled for March 8, 2007, and will outline information for the March 13, 2007 security bulletin release. The actual bulletins released on that Tuesday will be used to determine the actual answer for this market as those numbers can change after the preview. The advanced notification URL is http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/advance.mspx.