On which date will a U.S. presidential candidate from each major party clinch his or her nomination? (Inkling Markets Public Marketplace)

On which date will a U.S. presidential candidate from each major party clinch his or her nomination?

Ends: 09/05/08 @ 12:00 PM PDT

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PREDICTIONS	CURRENT VALUE	TODAY
Democrat clinches nomination	June 4, 2008/ June 3, 2008	(closed)
Republican clinches nomination	March 4, 2008/ March 4, 2008	(closed)

TAGS

Clinton convention democrats election Giuliani Huckabee McCain Nomination obama politics President republicans Romney Thompson

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jd17 trades: 591 • markets run: 4 • member since: 05/04/07

What do you mean by “clinch”? Media reports? As of last week according to the media Clinton was already the Dem nominee. Do you mean having enough delagates to win the nomination?

written: Nov 02 2007 @ 07:26 AM PDT | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

mvguy trades: 1348 • markets run: 66 • member since: 06/23/07

Jd17 — Yes. See the market description. I’m basing it on the CNN delegate scorecard, which you can find here. This cannot occur until Feb. 5 at the earliest, even if someone were running unopposed, because most delegates won’t be selected until then.

written: Nov 02 2007 @ 10:28 AM PDT

market information

I’m judging the results based on the CNN delegate scorecard. For comparison purposes, in the last election cycle this date was reached for the Democrats on March 11, 2004, two days after Florida and Texas (among others) held presidential primaries. For Republicans (President Bush was running basically unopposed), the date was reached on March 9, 2004. Note that the CNN delegate scorecard includes both pledged and unpledged delegates.

stock information

Democrat clinches nomination

This is the day (using Eastern Time) on which the CNN Democratic National Convention delegate count recognizes one of the party’s candidates as having enough votes to win the nomination.

Republican clinches nomination

This is the day (using Eastern Time) on which the CNN Republican National Convention delegate scorecard recognizes one of the party’s candidates as having enough votes to win the nomination.