Will Florida or Michigan have another Democratic Primary or Caucus? (Inkling Markets Public Marketplace)

Will Florida or Michigan have another Democratic Primary or Caucus?

Ends: 04/30/08 @ 03:51 PM PDT

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Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.

PREDICTIONS	CURRENT VALUE	TODAY
Neither Will	$97.50/ $100.00	(closed)
Florida Will	$2.53/ $0.00	(closed)
Michigan Will	$1.98/ $0.00	(closed)

TAGS

caucus Clinton Democrat Florida michigan obama primary

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stomv trades: 9039 • markets run: 1 • member since: 08/01/07

Is a caucus considered a primary for this market?

written: Mar 06 2008 @ 04:52 PM PST | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

stomv trades: 9039 • markets run: 1 • member since: 08/01/07

I can’t wait to get in on this. I’m selling Michigan short because I believe Michigan will have a caucus, not a primary. They’re clearly different, and if MI holds a caucus, I doubt they’ll also hold a primary (a la the Texas model).

written: Mar 07 2008 @ 01:06 AM PST | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

jmassingill trades: 105 • markets run: 9 • member since: 09/16/07

Yes, I would consider anything that would require the voters of that state to vote again. I’m sorry for the confusion.

written: Mar 07 2008 @ 06:37 AM PST

jmassingill trades: 105 • markets run: 9 • member since: 09/16/07

I tried to change the question to “Will Florida or Michigan have another Democrat Primary or Caucus?” but the system will not allow such a change after the market has been created.

written: Mar 07 2008 @ 06:40 AM PST

mvguy trades: 1470 • markets run: 73 • member since: 06/23/07

I’ve reworded a market title after it has started. You might try again. Or if that doesn’t work, you can ask the powers that be to change it for you.

written: Mar 08 2008 @ 11:51 AM PST | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

RecycledCardboardBox trades: 1099 • markets run: 4 • member since: 08/05/07

I’ve done it as well. Then, I was only changing “who” to “whom”. Maybe there’s a limit on how much you can change?

written: Mar 12 2008 @ 12:26 AM PDT | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

stomv trades: 9039 • markets run: 1 • member since: 08/01/07

OK — so I completely changed my position since you’ve made it clear that for this market, a caucus is a primary.

written: Mar 07 2008 @ 08:10 AM PST | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

jmassingill trades: 105 • markets run: 9 • member since: 09/16/07

OK, I fixed the title. Once again, sorry for the confusion.

written: Mar 12 2008 @ 08:24 AM PDT

hostetler trades: 37 • markets run: 1 • member since: 01/17/08

florida annouced it will have a primary, buy buy

written: Mar 12 2008 @ 07:51 PM PDT | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

wstritt trades: 14252 • markets run: 56 • member since: 04/10/07

“Democrats say mail-in re-vote in Florida looks unlikely”

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/southflorida/sfl-fladelegates0314sbmar14,0,7411675.story

written: Mar 14 2008 @ 01:05 PM PDT | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

Larosa trades: 388 • markets run: 6 • member since: 10/25/07

No new primary for Florida Democrats

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/03/17/florida.primary.decision/index.html

written: Mar 17 2008 @ 07:34 PM PDT | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

wstritt trades: 14252 • markets run: 56 • member since: 04/10/07

“Michigan rules out new Democratic primary:governor”

http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5hi7KFKrUO2CKhnD6yX9IZTQCUG4A

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/03/20/AR2008032003526.html?hpid=moreheadlines

written: Mar 19 2008 @ 11:56 AM PDT | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

market information

A yes will be if the state holds another primary or caucus. A no will be if the previous votes stand regardless if the delegates are seated.

stock information

Neither Will

Neither State has another primary.

Florida Will

Florida has another primary.

Michigan Will

Michigan has another primary.