Will Israel make a military strike on Iran within the next year?
Ends: 06/13/09 @ 12:00 AM PDT
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Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.
| PREDICTIONS | CURRENT VALUE | TODAY |
| Yes | $18.55 | 0.00 |
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trades: 11819 •
markets run: 16 •
member since: 10/21/07
would “hostile intent” include spy planes?
trades: 185 •
markets run: 2 •
member since: 01/24/07
Within a year? A year from when? And we still need an answer to Garth’s question.
market information
“military strike on Iran” is here defined as the invasion of Iran’s airspace by Israel with hostile intent, without regard to justification, if any.