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| PREDICTIONS | CURRENT VALUE | TODAY |
| Liberal Party | $96.47/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| Conservative Party | $1.28/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| New Democratic Party | $1.09/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| The BLOC | $1.10/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| Other | $0.05/ $0.00 | (closed) |
The challenge in this market is to predict which Canadian political party will lose the most number of seats in the House of Commons during the next election. In the case of any seat that does not have a projected winner one week after the election, the candidate listed as having the most votes at that time will be considered the winner for the purpose of this market. Elections Canada preliminary results will be used at that time. If there is a tie, the seat will be considered to have no winner. The market will close once the election has been held. It must be called prior to January 23, 2011.
The Liberal Party of Canada will lose the most seats in the next Canadian election. The number of seats won in the 2006 election was 103 seats. The increase or decrease in the number of seats will be calculated using this as the initial amount. The final results of the next election as they stand one week following election night will be used as the final amount of seats held by the Liberal Party.
The Conservative Party of Canada will lose the most seats in the next Canadian election. The number of seats won in the 2006 election was 124 seats. The increase or decrease in the number of seats will be calculated using this as the initial amount. The final results of the next election as they stand one week following election night will be used as the final amount of seats held by the Conservative Party.
The New Democratic Party of Canada will lose the most seats in the next Canadian election. The number of seats won in the 2006 election was 29 seats. The increase or decrease in the number of seats will be calculated using this as the initial amount. The final results of the next election as they stand one week following election night will be used as the final amount of seats held by the New Democratic Party.
The BLOC (Quebec Regional Party) will lose the most seats in the next Canadian election. The number of seats won in the 2006 election was 51 seats. The increase or decrease in the number of seats will be calculated using this as the initial amount. The final results of the next election as they stand one week following election night will be used as the final amount of seats held by the BLOC.
The greatest loss in number of seats will be by new MP’s unaffiliated to any of the listed parties, whether they belong to another party or are elected as independents. The number of seats won in the 2006 election by members unaffiliated with any of the listed parties was 1 seats. The increase or decrease in the number of seats will be calculated using this as the initial amount. The final results of the next election as they stand one week following election night will be used as the final amount of seats held by MP’s unaffiliated with any of the listed parties.