Braylon Edwards vs. Michael Phelps: Who ya got? (Inkling Markets Public Marketplace)

Braylon Edwards vs. Michael Phelps: Who ya got?

Ends: 02/02/09 @ 12:01 PM PST

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Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.

PREDICTIONS	CURRENT VALUE	TODAY
Michael Phelps	$98.53/ $100.00	(closed)
Braylon Edwards	$1.47/ $0.00	(closed)

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nfl olympics

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davejohnson000 trades: 0 • markets run: 0 • member since: 09/16/08

Edwards doesnt stand a chance. He’ll be lucky at this point to get 17 receptions let alone TD’s I bet him this morning -500 not to get 17 TD’s at this site:
http://www.inspin.com/nfl/braylon-edwards-michael-phelps-1708.html
Cheap price. This time last year he already had 2 TD"s this year…zilch!

written: Sep 16 2008 @ 03:48 PM PDT

davidd8663 trades: 1316 • markets run: 12 • member since: 02/11/08

Over half way through the season and Edwards only has 3 TDs. He has zero chance of getting to 16.

written: Nov 17 2008 @ 06:34 PM PST | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

regitsoff trades: 146 • markets run: 1 • member since: 03/05/08

So Edwards scored 3 TD’s all season, which was not enough.

written: Dec 29 2008 @ 04:32 AM PST

market information

The idea for this market is stolen from an article that appeared on Yahoo Sports News, here:

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/blog/shutdown_corner/post/Braylon-Edwards-vs-Michael-Phelps-Who-ya-got-?urn=nfl,106027

This market will close at the conclusion of the last game the Browns play. I am going to give Edwards the benefit of the post season, up to and including SuperBowl XLIII, should the Browns advance that far. It is unclear if the wager that Edwards and Phelps have includes the post season, so this is a judgment call that I am making.

The text of the article follows:

Sun Sep 07, 2008 2:12 pm EDT
Braylon Edwards vs. Michael Phelps: Who ya got?

By MJD

Braylon Edwards is a fantastic wide receiver. A master gambler, he probably is not.

Before the Olympics, as Braylon and Phelps were hanging out somewhere talking about all things Michigan (take that, Miami of Ohio!), they struck up a bet. Braylon wagered that he’d score twice as many touchdowns as Michael Phelps would win gold medals (gracias, FanHouse).

Phelps, as you may have heard, won eight.

The foot injury wasn’t a complete loss. Edwards used the time on his couch to catch up with swimmer Michael Phelps’ chase for history at the Olympics.

Edwards and Phelps have University of Michigan ties and struck up a friendship. Edwards bragged before Beijing that he would more than double Phelps’ gold-medal total with touchdown catches. After Phelps’ record eight golds, Edwards needs to set another franchise record.

I don’t know exactly what’s on the line, but I hope Braylon’s getting odds. He’s going to have to be injury-free and dominant to win this one.

Myself, I don’t bet against Michael Phelps. That would feel like betting against America.

You?

stock information

Michael Phelps

Michael Phelps will win more Gold than half of the total TD’s that Edwards scores this season. In other words, Edwards will score less than 16 TD for this choice to cash out to $100/share.

Braylon Edwards

Braylon Edwards will score twice as many TD’s as Michael Phelps won gold medals (Phelps won 8 Golds, so that would be 16 or more TD’s).