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| PREDICTIONS | CURRENT VALUE | TODAY |
| More than 60%, up to 62% | $12.66/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| 50%, up to 52% | $0.81/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| More than 52%, up to 54% | $1.82/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| More than 54%, up to 56% | $3.66/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| More than 56%, up to 58% | $6.67/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| More than 58%, up to 60% | $9.84/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| More than 62%, up to 64% | $25.50/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| More than 64%, up to 66% | $24.50/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| More than 66%, up to 68% | $8.83/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| More than 68%, up to 70% | $1.90/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| More than 70% | $2.95/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| Less than 50% | $0.80/ $0.00 | (closed) |
Voter turnout best in generations, maybe a century
By SETH BORENSTEIN – 10 hours ago
WASHINGTON (AP) — America voted in record numbers, standing in lines that snaked around blocks and in some places in pouring rain. Voters who queued up Tuesday and the millions who balloted early propelled 2008 to what one expert said was the highest turnout in a century.
It looks like 136.6 million Americans will have voted for president this election, based on 88 percent of the country’s precincts tallied and projections for absentee ballots, said Michael McDonald of George Mason University. Using his methods, that would give 2008 a 64.1 percent turnout rate.
Acording to http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15422.html :
“Between 60.7 percent and 61.7 percent of the 208.3 million eligible voters cast ballots this year, compared with 60.6 percent of those eligible in 2004, according to a voting analysis by American University political scientist Curtis Gans, an authority on voter turnout.”
I know that election day has come and gone. I also realize there are some early projections as to the voter turnout percentage. But the final results are still not in. As mentioned when the market was first posted, final determination would be made when enough accurate data is available. I hope that will be soon.
So, when is this getting cashed out, exactly? I think they’ve counted the votes to within several decimal points.
Cashed this out based on the wikipedia mention of 61% turnout.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election
There is a lot of interest in the presidential election, with huge televison ratings for the conventions. But will that interest be there at election day? Voter turnout has varied from almost 63% in 1960, dropping to a low of about than 49% in 1996. The rate was 55.3% for the 2004 presidential election. What will it be in 2008?
For more information see:
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/turnout.php
Note: Market closes the eve of the election (November 3 at midnight). Ultimate answer will be announced once enough accurate data is available and market maker feels comfortable with the answer.