With which percentage of the electorate vote will the winner win the US Presidential Election? (Inkling Markets Public Marketplace)

With which percentage of the electorate vote will the winner win the US Presidential Election?

Ends: 11/04/08 @ 12:00 PM PST

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Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.

PREDICTIONS	CURRENT VALUE	TODAY
Between 52% and 55%	$80.15/ $100.00	(closed)
More than 55%	$5.95/ $0.00	(closed)
Between 50% and 51.9%	$10.64/ $0.00	(closed)
Less than 50%	$3.25/ $0.00	(closed)

TAGS

Elections percentage Presidential us win

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discussion

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mvguy trades: 1270 • markets run: 65 • member since: 06/23/07

What if it’s between 51.9 and 52 percent?

written: Oct 06 2008 @ 08:27 AM PDT | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

Chairman Meow trades: 121 • markets run: 2 • member since: 06/05/08

is this popular vote, or percentage of electoral votes?

written: Oct 07 2008 @ 07:38 AM PDT | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

MFWinAlford trades: 5841 • markets run: 0 • member since: 05/29/07

Hello?

On what basis did you settle this at >55%?!!!!

Please cite a source that would back that up.

Accoring to http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/president/

it is 53%…

written: Nov 06 2008 @ 06:31 PM PST | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

eisflaeche trades: 165 • markets run: 4 • member since: 07/01/07

Will anyone please finally get it? The ELECTORAL VOTE count is 364 for Obama, 163 for McCain without the still missing results from MO. That’s 67,7% vs. 30,0. Obama has 53 in the POPULAR VOTE, but the creator of the market didn’t state anywhere that the market was about this percentage, even if most of the participants obviously misunderstood him here…

So please, may have my money back.

written: Nov 10 2008 @ 08:25 AM PST | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.