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Which economist will receive the Nobel Prize for Economics (the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences) on 10/12/09?

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POSSIBLE ANSWERS PREDICTED CHANCE TODAY
PREDICTED
3.18%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
19.26%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
1.43%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
1.43%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
3.18%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
3.45%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
1.43%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
2.13%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
1.43%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
1.43%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
1.43%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
19.66%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
3.18%
ACTUAL
100.00%
PREDICTED
4.21%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
7.08%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
3.18%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
7.08%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
15.77%
ACTUAL
0.00%
Discussion

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Reasons for Prediction

"has won multiple awards - has to be considered at higher odds than 6% favorite!"
Eugene Fama
October 07, 2009 @ 05:40am PDT

"no way in hell they give it to a financial economist this year"
Eugene Fama
October 07, 2009 @ 01:03pm PDT

"His work has contributed more to economics than that of other candidates."
Robert Shiller
October 12, 2009 @ 05:01am PDT

"nudge baby nudge"
Richard Thaler
October 11, 2009 @ 08:37pm PDT

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