When will Alex Rodriguez hit his 600th home run?

Available to trade:

POSSIBLE ANSWERS	CHANCE	TODAY
August	95.5%/ 100.0%	(closed)
April	0.1%/ 0.0%	(closed)
May 1-15	0.4%/ 0.0%	(closed)
May 16-31	0.1%/ 0.0%	(closed)
June 1-15	0.1%/ 0.0%	(closed)
June 16-30	0.1%/ 0.0%	(closed)
July 1-15	0.1%/ 0.0%	(closed)
July 16-31	1.0%/ 0.0%	(closed)
September	1.7%/ 0.0%	(closed)
October or not this season	2.8%/ 0.0%	(closed)

Question closing

October 01, 2010 @ 12:00pm PDT

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a-rod Baseball MLB Yankees

discussion

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MFWinAlford • Sun Jun 13 2010 at 12:02pm PDT

At this point, I’m voting for “not this year” in this as well as your Hoffman and Posada markets. Even before A-Rod was sidelined, he was on track to reach your target in August; now it looks like September, and if he’s out much longer even that could be problematic. As to Jorge, even his grand slam yesterday didn’t really put him back on track. Maybe once he dons his mitt again, he’ll start hitting better…

wstritt • Sun Jun 13 2010 at 05:57pm PDT

Another grand slam today for Jorge…changing your mind?

MFWinAlford • Thu Jul 01 2010 at 07:21pm PDT

Yes, I have. I’m now betting on July for Posada, August for A-Rod, and September for Hoffman, though that last one is the weakest of the three predictions…

wstritt • Thu Jul 01 2010 at 08:08pm PDT

Not a bad bet on Hoffman. Brewers out of contention by early September, probably last year for Hoffman, need to put some people in seats, why not let Trevor try for 600.

wstritt • Wed Jul 07 2010 at 04:38am PDT

A-Rod at 597 HR’s after hitting 2 July 6th against A’s.

Reasons for Prediction

"avg law of statistics"
May 16-31
March 25, 2010 @ 10:07pm PDT

"cuz its the rite answer"
July 16-31
July 02, 2010 @ 11:21am PDT

"HE'S OVERDUE TO HIT ONE"
August
August 03, 2010 @ 11:39am PDT

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Background information

A-Rod is 17 home runs short of 600 for his career. Assuming he doesn’t get hurt, it should be sometime this season. When will he hit number 600?