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Will Abdoulaye Wade win re-election as President of Senegal?

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POSSIBLE ANSWERS	PREDICTED CHANCE	TODAY
Yes (closed)	PREDICTED 67.09%	ACTUAL 0.00%

Question ends

March 23, 2012 @ 09:00pm PDT

created by

amsiegel (all their questions)

Predictions Made

68 (Most: wstritt)

Discussion

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Date

EdG1975 • Tue May 01 2012 at 02:32pm PDT

what is keeping up the cashing out of this one?

onedave • Thu Apr 05 2012 at 03:29pm PDT

Macky Sall was elected president.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senegalese_presidential_election,_2012

EdG1975 • Thu Apr 05 2012 at 03:20pm PDT

what is keeping us from cashing out this one?

job • Thu Mar 08 2012 at 05:32am PST

can be payed out!

wstritt • Thu Mar 08 2012 at 01:34pm PST

Probably should be re-opened. First round did not result in majority for anyone resulting in a run-off between Wade and Macky Sall on March 25th so outcome is still undetermined.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/africa/senegals-constitutional-court-releases-final-results-for-1st-round-of-presidential-elections/2012/03/06/gIQAuX20uR_story.html

Reasons for Prediction

"guess"
January 26, 2012 @ 01:16pm PST

"poeple want change this time"
January 31, 2012 @ 02:50pm PST

"hes experienced"
February 19, 2012 @ 03:29pm PST

"he is the father of the nation and knows how to get it done right he been there done that"
February 26, 2012 @ 10:30am PST

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Background information

Senegal’s presidential election is currently set for February 2012. The question will close with a “no” if Wade drops out of the race, fails to qualify for the runoff, or loses the first or the second round. Outcome will be resolved based on reporting from one or more of the following sources: BBC News or Reuters or Economist Online (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/ or http://www.reuters.com/ or http://www.economist.com). If nothing is reported in these sources, then the “status quo” outcome typically will be assumed (e.g., for a question about a political leader leaving office, an absence of reporting will be taken to indicate that the leader remains in office). Administrator reserves the right to use other sources as needed (e.g., CIA World Factbook, Wikipedia), provided those sources do not directly contradict concurrent event reporting from BBC News, Reuters, or Economist Online. In cases of substantial controversy or uncertainty, administrator may refer the question to outside subject matter experts, or we may deem the question invalid/void.