Who will win the 2008 United States Presidential Election?
| POSSIBLE ANSWERS | CHANCE | TODAY |
| 97.2%/ 100.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 2.8%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) | |
| 0.0%/ 0.0% | (closed) |
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-09-07-poll_N.htm
Reasons for Prediction
"This seems a bit lopsided, considering the polls."
John McCain
August 30, 2008 @ 01:12am PDT
"way oversold"
John McCain
October 02, 2008 @ 09:50pm PDT
"Underdog, maybe.. but this seems very low"
John McCain
October 31, 2008 @ 01:05am PDT
"I think Barack will win "
Barack Obama
September 09, 2008 @ 01:50pm PDT
"Want to invest in some opportunities I feel may have a better return."
Ron Paul
July 21, 2008 @ 09:52am PDT
Background information
On November 4, 2008, Americans will elect the 44th President of the United States. Who will it be?
In all likelihood, the winner is in this market. If viable non-listed candidates emerge, they will be floated at $1.
EDIT – I tried to float Bloomberg at $1, but it wouldn’t let me. I hope that doesn’t cause anyone too much trouble. Right now, he seems a little high to me.
Edit 2 – I just floated Mike Huckabee. Unfortunately, it’s impossible to float a new stock any lower than the market average, which is currently third place.
Candidates will not be closed out. The market will sort out what value a candidate has, bottoming out at $0 as they are elimated.
The winner of the 2008 Presidential election will be closed out at $100. All others will be closed out at $0.