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Who will win the 2008 United States Presidential Election?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS PREDICTED CHANCE TODAY
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0.00%
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0.00%
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97.18%
ACTUAL
100.00%
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2.81%
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Question ends

November 04, 2008 @ 05:16pm PST
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Predictions Made

2854 (Most: Garth Brewer)
Discussion

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hawver   •   Mon Sep 08 2008 at 08:36pm PDT
McCain leads Democrat Barack Obama by 50%-46% among registered voters:

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-09-07-poll_N.htm

PerfectHandle   •   Tue May 13 2008 at 07:30am PDT
Hey guys…Bob Barr just entered the race as a Libertarian.
wstritt   •   Thu May 15 2008 at 09:09pm PDT
Hillary has a better shot than Barr of winning (i.e. none) so its a bit shocking that he has a higher probability of winning than she does.
PerfectHandle   •   Thu May 22 2008 at 12:58pm PDT
Barr started high, since you can’t start anyone lower than the avg of the market. He’s been sinking since he announced.
PerfectHandle   •   Tue Apr 03 2007 at 09:14am PDT

Reasons for Prediction

"This seems a bit lopsided, considering the polls."
John McCain
August 30, 2008 @ 01:12am PDT

"way oversold"
John McCain
October 02, 2008 @ 09:50pm PDT

"Underdog, maybe.. but this seems very low"
John McCain
October 31, 2008 @ 01:05am PDT

"I think Barack will win "
Barack Obama
September 09, 2008 @ 01:50pm PDT

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