Will Larry Craig regign from the US Senate? Please predict the actual date he will step down. If he annouces that he will not run for reelection but will serve out the remainder of his term, his date for resignation will be January of 2009.

Can you clarify whether you want a prediction of the date Craig announces his resignation, or a prediction of the date of his last day in office?

Also, what if Craig initially announces that he will serve out the remainder of his term, but later resigns early?

I am looking for his last day in the US Senate.

so, how does it work that he is resigning on 9/30 and our options are either before or after?

Craig to Resign

According to the discussion below, the market was set up to predict his last day in office. News reports are indicating that this will be September 30th. Yet it appears as if the market was closed out at the “September 1” value — am I misreading this, or was the market closed incorrectly?

What is the status of this market? Payouts… closure… what’s up?

Given recent news, apparently Craig now thinks he may not resign on September 30. I’d re-open the market and let traders continue to trade (or not, as they desire) until Craig actually leaves office. As is apparent, announcements of intent to resign are not quite the same as actually resigning.

did we get cash back on this market? It looks like i lost all my money

Why did this market close and pay out (at $0)? Craig initially announced Sept 30 would be his last day in office, and now seems to be reconsidering that announcement.