See also Pollster.com

31% in the latest poll

34% in the most recent Gallup poll

Down to 32% from 12/14-12/16 after hitting 37% from 12/6-12/9.

32% again Jan 4-6

The most recent poll has it at 28%, which I believe is the lowest so far.

Zogby poll has it at 23% according to http://www.pollingreport.com/BushJob1.htm

Perhaps a sign of things to come, but as stated in the market description, this market uses only the Gallup poll.

Sorry… It was the reference to http://www.pollingreport.com/BushJob1.htm in the market description that “threw” me.

Down to 27% this week, his lowest ever.

Now it’s at 25. I guess we need one more downtick for a payout.

25 again this week.

It’s up to 26% now. Apparently they’re polling daily now as of last week: http://www.gallup.com/poll/111769/Gallup-Daily-Bush-Job-Approval.aspx.

According to the daily polls at the URL above, his rolling average had been 27% several periods in a row but his Nov 15-17 average dropped to 25. Mathematically that means his single day result on Nov 17 must have been below 25 in order to pull the average down so far. Time to close the market?

I’m inclined to go by published averages only. There might have been other individual days when he was under 25% before they started the daily tracking poll, but we’d have no way of knowing.