Which party will get the most seats in the upcoming NZ elections? (Inkling Markets Public Marketplace)

Which party will get the most seats in the upcoming NZ elections?

Ends: 11/06/08 @ 11:59 PM PST

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Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.

PREDICTIONS	CURRENT VALUE	TODAY
National	$95.09/ $100.00	(closed)
Labour	$4.79/ $0.00	(closed)
Other or Draw	$0.12/ $0.00	(closed)

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nz politics

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char trades: 2321 • markets run: 10 • member since: 03/08/06

Is the question about which party will have the largest gain, or which will have the final majority?

written: Jan 26 2008 @ 06:22 PM PST

bobthevirus trades: 158 • markets run: 1 • member since: 01/24/08

The question is which will end up with the largest number of seats. For example, Labour currently has 49 seats and National 48 (out of 121). If this were the results after the election then Labour would win.

They don’t have to end up with a majority, nor will they actually have to form a coalition. It’s just a simple FPP count of the number of seats…

written: Jan 27 2008 @ 06:18 AM PST

bobthevirus trades: 158 • markets run: 1 • member since: 01/24/08

Just put the end data in as midnight on the 6th Nov pacific time (sometime in the afternoon/evening the night before the election NZ time)

written: Sep 15 2008 @ 01:08 PM PDT

wstritt trades: 14259 • markets run: 56 • member since: 04/10/07

National wins 59 seats to Labor’s 43.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz-election-2008/news/article.cfm?c_id=1501799&objectid=10542043

written: Nov 09 2008 @ 07:36 AM PST | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

market information

This will closed the day before election day. The winner will be based on the official results from the elections commission, as a simple FPP count of the number of seats won.

stock information

National

National will win the most seats

Labour

Labour will win the most seats

Other or Draw

One of the other parties will win the most seats. Alternatively, there is a draw in the number of seats which labour and national win.