well the market isn’t well suited to the question. so for instance if the price is at 38 and I think it will come in closer to 18, there’s no real bet I can make. I can’t buy enough shares to move the market to 18 and just putting in a 50, 100, 150 share bet leaves the price WAY higher than I think it should be (in this hypothetical).
How many units of Apple's iPhone will sell in the first six months it is on the market?