- sign up to begin trading in this market
- show real-time results of this market on your blog or website
| PREDICTIONS | CURRENT VALUE | TODAY |
| A Better Tomorrow | $50.00/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| AskFirst | $50.00/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| DaWanda | $91.99/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| Dealjäger | $80.22/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| Edelight | $91.84/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| Shoppero | $64.57/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| SoSmart | $49.31/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| Tradoria | $90.14/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| Yieeha | $80.22/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| Deals.de | $12.35/ $0.00 | (closed) |
All the web sites are already available in Germany – what exactly is the question? Die haben sich schon auf dem deutschen Markt behaupten koennen, also verstehe ich die Frage nicht…
All of them are startups that launched in the last couple of months. The question is: Which of these social shopping services will survive/ be successful?
How are we defining successful here? What’s the payout structure? Largest profits (smallest loss) at the end of July 2008?
Perhaps you could give more precise information about exactly what conditions will need to be present for each stock to pay out or be closed?
deals.de seems to be dead.
http://www.deals.de/
sosmart.de, while seemingly having a website, seems to be largely missing in action for all practical purposes as well.
http://www.alexa.com/data/details/traffic_details/sosmart.de
Please see my 7/3/08 entry in the lock of the week Support Forum thread for analysis of likely outcomes.
Comment forwarded to market creator now that market has closed trading:
As best I can tell, aside from deals.de which went defunct and but appears to have relaunched under new ownership/intent, all of the other sites appear to at least still exist. Accordingly, they have “survived” which is the judgement criteria implied by your 8/3/07 comment. In that context, all of the stocks should pay out at 100 aside from deals.de which has already closed at 0.
However, if “success” is your criteria, based on traffic statistics from, among others, alexa.com, it would appear that traddoria.de, de.dewanda.com and edelight.de each have a reasonable level of traffic suggesting that, at least by that measure, they are successful. Yieeha.de and dealjaeger.de also have measurable traffic, though not at the level as the aforementioned but can probably be considered “successful”. While they still exist, askfirst.de, sosmart.de, and a-better-tomorrow.de probably fail the “success” test based solely on lack of meaningful traffic though it may be possible that they are finacially successful in small ways serving niche markets. For what it is worth, it may be too soon to tell on shoppero.com which appears to have only recenlly launched a beta version which has some traffic though not up to “successful” levels.
——————————————————————————————————————————-
Note: As of market close, I was long everything trading above 50