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Whom Will John McCain Choose as His Running Mate?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Bobby Jindal

(closed)

Predicted: 0.09%

Actual: 0.00%

Charlie Crist

(closed)

Predicted: 0.07%

Actual: 0.00%

Condaleeza Rice

(closed)

Predicted: 0.01%

Actual: 0.00%

Field of Candidates

(closed)

Predicted: 0.26%

Actual: 0.00%

Fred Thompson

(closed)

Predicted: 0.01%

Actual: 0.00%

Haley Barbour

(closed)

Predicted: 0.01%

Actual: 0.00%

JC Watts

(closed)

Predicted: 0.02%

Actual: 0.00%

Joe Lieberman

(closed)

Predicted: 0.20%

Actual: 0.00%

Mark Sanford

(closed)

Predicted: 0.02%

Actual: 0.00%

Michael Bloomberg

(closed)

Predicted: 0.01%

Actual: 0.00%

Michael Steele

(closed)

Predicted: 0.01%

Actual: 0.00%

Mike Huckabee

(closed)

Predicted: 0.10%

Actual: 0.00%

Mitch Daniels

(closed)

Predicted: 0.04%

Actual: 0.00%

Mitt Romney

(closed)

Predicted: 0.09%

Actual: 0.00%

Rudy Giuliani

(closed)

Predicted: 0.02%

Actual: 0.00%

Sarah Palin

(closed)

Predicted: 98.87%

Actual: 100.00%

Tim Pawlenty

(closed)

Predicted: 0.07%

Actual: 0.00%

Tom Coburn

(closed)

Predicted: 0.01%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

August 29, 2008 @ 09:27am PDT

Predictions Made

540

Most by: K1050 (143 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

gcohen85   •   Sat Aug 30 2008 at 08:47am PDT

When is this market going to pay out?

foobar   •   Tue Sep 02 2008 at 02:11pm PDT

yes, when?

ChloeBurns   •   Sun Aug 03 2008 at 07:22am PDT

This market may be closed, but a similar market is still open and will remain open until the Republican convention:

Who will be the Republican Vice Presidential nominee in 2008?
http://home.inklingmarkets.com/markets/3277

bhammer   •   Thu Mar 20 2008 at 05:02pm PDT

can you clarify exactly what field of candidates means?

zakarria   •   Sat Mar 22 2008 at 08:35pm PDT

Generally speaking “field of candidates” means “anybody not listed here”. It’s like “none of the above” except it still works when some or all of the other names aren’t actually above it. :-)

Rationales

"He's still in the top 2 for choices and Mitt Romney is kind of crazy"

gcohen85 bought Tim Pawlenty at 17.79%
August 27, 2008 @ 07:33pm PDT

"Young, great record on energy, healthcare, and fiscal policies, mild enough for VP roleplayer"

gimmeacoke bought Tim Pawlenty at 12.60%
July 31, 2008 @ 04:16pm PDT

"I don't think she's the likely pick, but I think her chances are better than 1.5 percent."

mvguy bought Sarah Palin at 1.50%
July 27, 2008 @ 02:47pm PDT

"I bought Mitt Romney in size, but now that Field is relatively cheap, I want to hedge my Romney position."

ChloeBurns bought Field of Candidates at 13.15%
July 24, 2008 @ 05:07am PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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