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Will Florida or Michigan have another Democratic Primary or Caucus?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Florida Will

(closed)

Predicted: 2.53%

Actual: 0.00%

Michigan Will

(closed)

Predicted: 1.98%

Actual: 0.00%

Neither Will

(closed)

Predicted: 97.50%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

April 30, 2008 @ 03:51pm PDT

Predictions Made

463

Most by: simon_ (134 predictions)

Discussion

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wstritt   •   Wed Mar 19 2008 at 11:56am PDT

Larosa   •   Mon Mar 17 2008 at 07:34pm PDT

No new primary for Florida Democrats

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/03/17/florida.primary.decision/index.html

hostetler   •   Wed Mar 12 2008 at 07:51pm PDT

florida annouced it will have a primary, buy buy

wstritt   •   Fri Mar 14 2008 at 01:05pm PDT

“Democrats say mail-in re-vote in Florida looks unlikely”

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/southflorida/sfl-fladelegates0314sbmar14,0,7411675.story

jmassingill   •   Wed Mar 12 2008 at 08:24am PDT

OK, I fixed the title. Once again, sorry for the confusion.

stomv   •   Fri Mar 07 2008 at 08:10am PST

OK — so I completely changed my position since you’ve made it clear that for this market, a caucus is a primary.

jmassingill   •   Fri Mar 07 2008 at 06:40am PST

I tried to change the question to “Will Florida or Michigan have another Democrat Primary or Caucus?” but the system will not allow such a change after the market has been created.

mvguy   •   Sat Mar 08 2008 at 11:51am PST

I’ve reworded a market title after it has started. You might try again. Or if that doesn’t work, you can ask the powers that be to change it for you.

RecycledCardboardBox   •   Wed Mar 12 2008 at 12:26am PDT

I’ve done it as well. Then, I was only changing “who” to “whom”. Maybe there’s a limit on how much you can change?

jmassingill   •   Fri Mar 07 2008 at 06:37am PST

Yes, I would consider anything that would require the voters of that state to vote again. I’m sorry for the confusion.

stomv   •   Thu Mar 06 2008 at 04:52pm PST

Is a caucus considered a primary for this market?

stomv   •   Fri Mar 07 2008 at 01:06am PST

I can’t wait to get in on this. I’m selling Michigan short because I believe Michigan will have a caucus, not a primary. They’re clearly different, and if MI holds a caucus, I doubt they’ll also hold a primary (a la the Texas model).

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Florida Will

Michigan Will

Neither Will