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In which state will the 2008 U.S. presidential election be closest (in terms of percentage)?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Colorado

(closed)

Predicted: 1.91%

Actual: 0.00%

Florida

(closed)

Predicted: 10.29%

Actual: 0.00%

Illinois

(closed)

Predicted: 1.28%

Actual: 0.00%

Indiana

(closed)

Predicted: 3.28%

Actual: 0.00%

Louisiana

(closed)

Predicted: 1.28%

Actual: 0.00%

Michigan

(closed)

Predicted: 1.91%

Actual: 0.00%

Minnesota

(closed)

Predicted: 1.28%

Actual: 0.00%

Missouri

(closed)

Predicted: 95.17%

Actual: 100.00%

Montana

(closed)

Predicted: 7.78%

Actual: 0.00%

Nevada

(closed)

Predicted: 4.10%

Actual: 0.00%

New Hampshire

(closed)

Predicted: 1.91%

Actual: 0.00%

New Jersey

(closed)

Predicted: 0.86%

Actual: 0.00%

Ohio

(closed)

Predicted: 1.77%

Actual: 0.00%

Oregon

(closed)

Predicted: 1.28%

Actual: 0.00%

Other

(closed)

Predicted: 4.83%

Actual: 0.00%

Pennsylvania

(closed)

Predicted: 1.50%

Actual: 0.00%

Virginia

(closed)

Predicted: 4.82%

Actual: 0.00%

Washington

(closed)

Predicted: 1.28%

Actual: 0.00%

West Virginia

(closed)

Predicted: 1.57%

Actual: 0.00%

Wisconsin

(closed)

Predicted: 1.28%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 10, 2008 @ 12:00pm PST

Predictions Made

182

Most by: Garth Brewer (55 predictions)

Discussion

Rationales

"North Carolina remains surprisingly tight. I wouldn't be too surprised if it's a squeaker."

Bodger bought Other at 3.16%
October 03, 2008 @ 05:21pm PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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