November 04, 2008 @ 05:30pm PST
Most by: MFWinAlford (48 predictions)
Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
The winning stock in this market will be determined by the total popular vote. To calculate the percentage, take the percentage of the winning candidate and subtract the percentage of the losing candidate. For example, if John McCain gets 49 percent of the total votes cast, Barack Obama gets 47 percent and third-party candidates get a total of 4 percent, the margin would be 2 percent. Electoral College votes have no bearing on this market.
The difference in percentages will be rounded down to the nearest hundredth of a percent. Thus, if a candidate wins by 4.999999999 percent, the winning stock will be "1% to 4.99%."
The vote tally of The Associated Press will be used to resolve this market. If the percentage is extremely close to a dividing line (such as a candidate winning by 10.0001 percent), the resolution will be based on the final AP count of 2008. Otherwise, the market will be resolved as soon as possible, probably within a day or two of the election.