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How many states will John McCain win in the 2008 U.S. presidential election?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

14 or fewer

(closed)

Predicted: 0.20%

Actual: 0.00%

15

(closed)

Predicted: 0.31%

Actual: 0.00%

16

(closed)

Predicted: 0.31%

Actual: 0.00%

17

(closed)

Predicted: 0.07%

Actual: 0.00%

18

(closed)

Predicted: 0.11%

Actual: 0.00%

19

(closed)

Predicted: 0.06%

Actual: 0.00%

20

(closed)

Predicted: 0.03%

Actual: 0.00%

21

(closed)

Predicted: 0.95%

Actual: 0.00%

22

(closed)

Predicted: 99.05%

Actual: 100.00%

23

(closed)

Predicted: 0.35%

Actual: 0.00%

24

(closed)

Predicted: 0.67%

Actual: 0.00%

25

(closed)

Predicted: 0.17%

Actual: 0.00%

26

(closed)

Predicted: 0.20%

Actual: 0.00%

27

(closed)

Predicted: 0.20%

Actual: 0.00%

28

(closed)

Predicted: 0.17%

Actual: 0.00%

29

(closed)

Predicted: 0.17%

Actual: 0.00%

30

(closed)

Predicted: 0.17%

Actual: 0.00%

31

(closed)

Predicted: 0.17%

Actual: 0.00%

32

(closed)

Predicted: 0.16%

Actual: 0.00%

33

(closed)

Predicted: 0.16%

Actual: 0.00%

34

(closed)

Predicted: 0.16%

Actual: 0.00%

35

(closed)

Predicted: 0.16%

Actual: 0.00%

36

(closed)

Predicted: 0.16%

Actual: 0.00%

37

(closed)

Predicted: 0.13%

Actual: 0.00%

38 or more

(closed)

Predicted: 0.16%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 30, 2008 @ 12:01pm PST

Predictions Made

335

Most by: MFWinAlford (60 predictions)

Discussion

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fester986   •   Wed Nov 19 2008 at 08:53am PST

fester986   •   Tue Nov 18 2008 at 12:23pm PST

do you know when Missouri will be certified?

mvguy   •   Wed Nov 05 2008 at 08:44am PST

As of this writing, McCain has won 21 states: North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Nebraska, Kansas, Georgia, Indiana, Oklahoma, Alaska, Texas, Arizona, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, South Carolina, Tennessee, Kentucky and West Virginia.

He leads very narrowly in Missouri. If he wins that state the market will cash out at 22. If he doesn’t, it will cash out at 21.

historical trend

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