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North Dakota or Indiana: Which state goes Obama?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Both

(closed)

Predicted: 0.03%

Actual: 0.00%

Indiana

(closed)

Predicted: 95.16%

Actual: 100.00%

Neither

(closed)

Predicted: 4.77%

Actual: 0.00%

North Dakota

(closed)

Predicted: 0.03%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 04, 2008 @ 11:12pm PST

Predictions Made

180

Most by: simon_ (31 predictions)

Discussion

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admin (ADMIN)   •   Thu Oct 30 2008 at 06:21am PDT

This market has been set up as “mutually exclusive” so only one stock can pay out at $100 and the others would be cashed out at $0. If Obama wins Indiana and N. Dakota then the “both” should be the one cashed out. Ideally this market would have been set up with just the two states as a non-mutually exclusive market.

MFWinAlford   •   Thu Oct 30 2008 at 05:53pm PDT

Thank you for clarifying!

simon_   •   Mon Oct 20 2008 at 05:08pm PDT

If he wins both, do you pay our ND, IN, and BOTH, or do you just pay out BOTH?

MFWinAlford   •   Thu Oct 30 2008 at 05:25am PDT

same question I have

historical trend

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More information about the possible answers

Both

Indiana

Neither

North Dakota