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Which key U.S. House races will the Democrats win in 2008?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Alaska (Berkowitz D, Young R)

(closed)

Predicted: 89.66%

Actual: 0.00%

Arizona 3rd (Lord D, Shadegg R)

(closed)

Predicted: 8.95%

Actual: 0.00%

Florida 25th (Garcia D, Diaz-Balart R)

(closed)

Predicted: 40.14%

Actual: 0.00%

Idaho 1st (Minnick D, Sali R)

(closed)

Predicted: 76.86%

Actual: 100.00%

Indiana 3rd (Montagano D, Souder R)

(closed)

Predicted: 48.01%

Actual: 0.00%

Minn. 3rd (Madia D, Paulsen R)

(closed)

Predicted: 54.99%

Actual: 0.00%

Minn. 6th (Tinklenberg D, Bachmann R)

(closed)

Predicted: 70.27%

Actual: 0.00%

N.H. 1st (Shea-Porter D, Bradley R)

(closed)

Predicted: 81.46%

Actual: 100.00%

N.M. 1st (Heinrich D, White R)

(closed)

Predicted: 77.56%

Actual: 100.00%

N.M. 2nd (Teague D, Tinsley R)

(closed)

Predicted: 76.86%

Actual: 100.00%

Nevada 3rd (Titus D, Porter R)

(closed)

Predicted: 59.97%

Actual: 100.00%

Ohio 15th (Kilroy D, Stivers R)

(closed)

Predicted: 84.03%

Actual: 100.00%

Penn. 11th (Kanjorski D, Barletta R)

(closed)

Predicted: 33.63%

Actual: 100.00%

Pennsylvania 12th (Murtha D, Russell R)

(closed)

Predicted: 73.50%

Actual: 100.00%

S. Carolina 1st (Ketner D, Brown R)

(closed)

Predicted: 24.61%

Actual: 0.00%

Washington 8th (Burner D, Reichert R)

(closed)

Predicted: 54.99%

Actual: 0.00%

Wisconsin 8th (Kagen D, Gard R)

(closed)

Predicted: 88.08%

Actual: 100.00%

Wyoming (Trauner D, Lummis R)

(closed)

Predicted: 24.98%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 04, 2008 @ 03:59pm PST

Predictions Made

140

Most by: Garth Brewer (52 predictions)

Discussion

mvguy   •   Wed Nov 05 2008 at 02:14pm PST

My apologies to you if you had spent your inkles after I cashed out the Kilroy-Stivers race. I had cashed out the market based on press reports, but today it was reported that one of the county election agencies had counted certain votes twice, so the cashout had to be retracted. As of today, the race is too close to call.

I’m checking for updates dailiy on the races that remain open and will close them once there’s an official count or the major news agencies have called a winner, whichever comes first.

Rationales

"Hedge Tinsley long in other New Mexico market"

wstritt bought N.M. 2nd (Teague D, Tinsley R) at 50.00%
October 24, 2008 @ 08:44am PDT

historical trend

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