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Who will be appointed the next U.S. Secretary of the Treasury?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Henry Paulson

(closed)

Predicted: 0.15%

Actual: 0.00%

Lawrence Summers

(closed)

Predicted: 0.39%

Actual: 0.00%

Other

(closed)

Predicted: 0.17%

Actual: 0.00%

Paul Volcker

(closed)

Predicted: 0.91%

Actual: 0.00%

Timothy Geithner

(closed)

Predicted: 98.23%

Actual: 100.00%

Warren Buffett

(closed)

Predicted: 0.13%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

January 19, 2009 @ 09:00pm PST

Predictions Made

273

Most by: K1050 (100 predictions)

Discussion

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ChloeBurns   •   Mon Nov 24 2008 at 03:43am PST

Trading in this market is suspended until after today’s press conference.

ChloeBurns   •   Thu Nov 06 2008 at 04:24pm PST

$35+ spread for Paul Volcker in this market and this one

Rationales

"No way it is Henry Paulson"

modernise sold Henry Paulson at 1.63%
November 10, 2008 @ 08:45am PST

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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