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Will Barack Obama be elected to a second term? (early edition)






Predicted: 91.38%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 01, 2012 @ 12:00am PDT

Predictions Made


Most by: K1050 (368 predictions)


Sort by: Down Date

job   •   Mon Nov 12 2012 at 10:19am PST

Cash out time!

onedave   •   Wed Nov 07 2012 at 06:47pm PST

Cash out as yes.

SneakyPete   •   Tue Oct 16 2012 at 12:47pm PDT

Romney 50%, Obama 46% Among Likely Voters.

Obama down sharply among men, college grads, and Southern voters vs. 2008. 2012 – Government – Political Parties – Politics
It will be interesting if this delcine in voter support for President Obama continues.

job   •   Wed Apr 18 2012 at 02:06pm PDT

Registered voters are evenly split between Mr. Romney and Mr. Obama. The poll finds 46 percent support Mr. Obama, while as many prefer Mr. Romney.

admin (ADMIN)   •   Fri Jul 03 2009 at 04:19pm PDT

This market was inadvertently closed for awhile. We’ve opened it back up.

alopex   •   Mon Nov 17 2008 at 01:27am PST

this is an interesting market since from an “investment” point of view it is not too attractive to participate due to the long range prediction and thus cash-out horizon. I would be interested to know why the traders who are participating in this one are doing so.

acernera   •   Fri Nov 18 2011 at 01:16pm PST

1. Because its fun. 2. Its one of the few subjects EVERYONE has an opinion on. 3. Because when dealing with large numbers like a national election the results are more predictable


"In-something-or-other-dot-com has BHO at 64,1%"

crispy sold at 88.04%
October 16, 2012 @ 07:57pm PDT

"He has the middle class interest in mind"

fc$ewaZ4 bought at 91.66%
August 17, 2012 @ 10:02pm PDT

"Based on current political trends"

eF!ayah7 bought at 86.01%
July 13, 2012 @ 08:09pm PDT


jsw740 sold at 81.34%
June 17, 2012 @ 10:14am PDT

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historical trend

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