Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.


Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.


Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

When will an official announcement be made naming Hillary Clinton's replacement in the Senate?




1/08/09 - 1/15/09


Predicted: 1.83%

Actual: 0.00%

1/16/09 - 1/23/09


Predicted: 91.37%

Actual: 100.00%

12/07/08 - 12/14/08


Predicted: 1.96%

Actual: 0.00%

12/15/08 - 12/22/08


Predicted: 1.30%

Actual: 0.00%

12/23/08 - 12/30/08


Predicted: 0.37%

Actual: 0.00%

12/31/08 - 1/07/09


Predicted: 2.85%

Actual: 0.00%

On or after 1/24/09


Predicted: 8.63%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

February 02, 2009 @ 06:42pm PST

Predictions Made


Most by: MFWinAlford (49 predictions)


Sort by: Down Date

BillyCat   •   Fri Jan 23 2009 at 06:27am PST

An announcement is supposed to be made this afternoon, and reports say that Kirsten Gillibrand has been selected. I’ll cash this out once Paterson makes an official statement.

Thanks for participating!

BillyCat   •   Fri Jan 23 2009 at 06:18am PST

By “on” I mean at any point after midnight on Friday, the 23rd. So if the announcement is made on Saturday. I will cash out at “on or after 1/24/09” at $100.

dabee47   •   Thu Jan 22 2009 at 04:37pm PST

We may be getting closer to an answer…

MFWinAlford   •   Mon Jan 19 2009 at 05:42pm PST

What if the announcement is made on the 24th? Which stock pays?

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).