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Will Congress open an OTA (with citizen input) in 2009?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Yes

(closed)

Predicted: 2.74%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

December 31, 2009 @ 02:04pm PST

topic

Science

Predictions Made

33

Most by: K1050 (6 predictions)

Discussion

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wstritt   •   Fri Jan 01 2010 at 10:54am PST

No OTA, with citizen input or otherwise, opened in 2009. Market should cash out at 0.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Office_of_Technology_Assessment

sciencecheerleader   •   Fri Feb 06 2009 at 09:12am PST

grandmasterfunky, Creigs and BillyCat: thanks for the insight. I’ll change this to read: Will Congress open an OTA (with citizen input) in 2009?
Thanks again. This is all new to me…
Science Cheerleader

grandmasterfunky   •   Sat Jan 17 2009 at 06:18pm PST

I’m outta here.

Creigs   •   Tue Jan 13 2009 at 06:03pm PST

Even with an April closing, this is still murky. If congress does not pass, and Obama does not sign a bill to recreate the OTA, by April, what will you do? Pay out for those who shorted, or extend the date again? When will you stop extending the date? With such uncertainty as to what the exact question is, I cannot play in this market.

sciencecheerleader   •   Tue Jan 06 2009 at 08:13pm PST

GrandMasterFunky: Think I should extend the closing date? Suggestions?

grandmasterfunky   •   Mon Jan 12 2009 at 12:06pm PST

I suggest you do one of two things.
1) Refund all money from this market and start over. If you can’t figure out when the market should end, a good idea might be to make that the question the market asks, ie ‘When will Congress set up an Office of Technology Assessment?’
OR
2) Move the closing date back to the original date of 1/15/09. I shorted the stock EXPRESSLY because of this market information. No one should have to take a loss simply because of your indecisiveness.

Thanks for running the market, however. Don’t want to be too harsh on you.

grandmasterfunky   •   Mon Jan 12 2009 at 11:49am PST

NO! I call BS. I already noted in the comments that I shorted based on the original market closing date of 1/15/09!

BillyCat   •   Thu Jan 08 2009 at 07:44am PST

I think you definitely need a time frame for this. Perhaps it should be Will Congress open an OTA (with citizen input)in 2009?

grandmasterfunky   •   Tue Jan 06 2009 at 03:29pm PST

Just to be clear you have set up this market to end by 1/15/09, so if Congress doesnt set up an OTA in the next 10 days this will pay out at $100 right? I have shorted accordingly.

historical trend

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