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Which Social Networking Site will be the most popular in 2009?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Facebook

(closed)

Predicted: 95.72%

Actual: 100.00%

LinkedIn

(closed)

Predicted: 0.41%

Actual: 0.00%

MySpace

(closed)

Predicted: 0.48%

Actual: 0.00%

Twitter

(closed)

Predicted: 3.37%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

December 31, 2009 @ 11:59pm PST

Predictions Made

112

Most by: AxmxZ (24 predictions)

Discussion

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simon_   •   Mon Feb 08 2010 at 08:52am PST

i don’t know what data to cite, but i’m fairly certain facebook wins.

admin (ADMIN)   •   Thu Nov 05 2009 at 08:39am PST

Given it’s only early November, we’ve opened this back up until the end of the year and will close it out once there is some new data available.

Creigs   •   Fri Oct 09 2009 at 09:15pm PDT

This market has been closed for 10 weeks and still not cashed out. What’s up with that?

Kippson   •   Fri Aug 21 2009 at 12:57pm PDT

This needs to be either cashed out or refunded.

Kippson   •   Thu Aug 13 2009 at 01:31pm PDT

can we cash this out please?

AxmxZ   •   Thu Aug 13 2009 at 09:26am PDT

So, is this getting cashed out ever, or what?

Creigs   •   Mon Aug 10 2009 at 11:36pm PDT

Why was this closed on July 13? The year 2009 isn’t over yet! Maybe the outcome is obvious, but that’s the whole point of a market, isn’t it? Still something (although unlikely) could happen to change the results – a bankruptcy, an unpopular takeover, a really bad software glitch that has the whole community running for the hills.

If you are going to keep this closed, then please cash us out.

AxmxZ   •   Mon Aug 10 2009 at 10:40am PDT

The post you linked to is from May 2008. Unsurprisngly, Nielsen already released the updated data back in June.

http://www.marketingcharts.com/interactive/top-social-media-sites-twitter-leaps-1989-9840/nielsen-online-top-online-member-community-destinations-ranked-audience-june-2008-2009jpg/

“By Nielsen’s calculations, Facebook continued to lead as the #1 social networking site for the sixth month in a row, with 87.3 million unique visitors in June 2009.”

gire   •   Thu Jul 09 2009 at 09:57am PDT

I think twitter is not in the same league as Facebook and MySpace…

Geletka   •   Thu May 14 2009 at 01:36pm PDT

How is popular measured?

Fredjames   •   Thu Apr 30 2009 at 08:24am PDT

Facebook looks like the new and emerging leader in the social networking sites.The question remains how do we get the end users to loosen up their purse strings for marketing products.The facebook crowd seems more mature and in an improved economy users are higher end prospects.

Rationales

"This is an understestimate check http://www.web-strategist.com/blog/2009/01/11/a-collection-of-soical-network-stats-for-2009/"

mid0 bought Facebook at 84.63%
June 09, 2009 @ 12:59pm PDT

"this is why a heavy-duty core will always lose…by definition, it must offer services which are of interest to only a subset of its users and yet all users are impacted by them… /mtr"

Hamish.MacEwan bought Twitter at 18.50%
April 05, 2009 @ 09:59pm PDT

historical trend

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