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Will a comprehensive health care plan be passed by Congress and signed by the President by December 15th, 2009?






Predicted: 1.67%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

December 11, 2009 @ 05:00pm PST



Predictions Made


Most by: MFWinAlford (35 predictions)


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TallPine   •   Thu Dec 17 2009 at 09:29am PST

So, Healthcare didn’t pass Congress and the President hasn’t signed it. Time to cash out this stock.

wstritt   •   Sat Nov 21 2009 at 09:20pm PST

MFWinAlford   •   Sat Nov 21 2009 at 07:02pm PST

Senate Votes to Open Health Care Debate

HUGE! One step closer to passage, but obviously the debate is far from over…

MFWinAlford   •   Wed Nov 18 2009 at 07:20pm PST

The bill under discussion in the Senate now sounds pretty “comprehensive” to me. As to when it might pass, this post seems to suggest it may move more quickly than the press is allowing:

fester986   •   Thu Jul 02 2009 at 12:32pm PDT

Please define Comprehensive? I think something like the Senate HELP committee bill would qualify while just expanding Medicaid eligiblity would not

chelseaboys   •   Wed Jul 01 2009 at 02:11pm PDT

You need a catergory for “I sure as hell hope not.”
Just kidding all you folks that really believe POTUS was born in Hawaii.

mvguy   •   Wed Jul 01 2009 at 06:34am PDT

I assume that you’re talking about some sort of comprehensive health care plan, not merely minor tweaks to the existing system.

admin (ADMIN)   •   Wed Jul 01 2009 at 06:42am PDT

Yes, talking about a comprehensive health care bill (I’ve modified the question to include that word to make it a bit more clear.) The market was spawned by the release of this draft by House Democrats. (FYI – I’m logged in as “admin” at the moment but I’m also “amsiegel” :)

mvguy   •   Wed Jul 01 2009 at 08:52am PDT


MFWinAlford   •   Thu Nov 05 2009 at 01:42pm PST

And does the current bill pass muster? We seem to have two issues here:
(1) will it be passed and signed by Dec. 15?, and
(2) is it “comprehensive”?

Single-payer (“Medicare for All”) advocates might consider the bill being debated to be a “tweak” whereas insurance companies may consider it a radical change!

From a White House press release:


I am extraordinarily pleased and grateful to learn that the AARP and the American Medical Association are both supporting the health insurance reform bill that will soon come up to a vote in the House of Representatives."

Does calling this a reform make it “comprehensive”?


"more chips off table"

wstritt bought at 0.75%
November 22, 2009 @ 06:50am PST

"taking a few chips off the table"

wstritt bought at 9.18%
November 18, 2009 @ 08:12pm PST

"House has already passed bill so chances are good."

amsiegel bought at 61.02%
November 10, 2009 @ 05:12pm PST

"I think the whole plan is going to get tripped up over the abortion issue."

mvguy sold at 67.44%
November 09, 2009 @ 07:50pm PST

historical trend

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