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What percentage of Americans will be considered obese by the end of 2010, as defined by Body Mass Index?




From 0% to 35%


Predicted: 42.06%

Actual: 0.00%

Greater than 35%


Predicted: 57.94%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 12, 2009 @ 12:14pm PST



Predictions Made


Most by: sbalen (2 predictions)


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chelseaboys   •   Tue May 15 2012 at 08:16am PDT

Thanks to whomever for finally closing this out.

Polyergic   •   Mon Apr 11 2011 at 07:44am PDT

A quick search of the CDC and NIH websites gives the impression that it’ll be a couple years before data from 2010 is available.

The most recent report of national statistics, released December 2010, uses data from 2008:

The most recent report I found was state-by-state statistics, using data from 2009:

Based on those, I doubt that over 35% of the U.S. population was obese at the end of 2010, but I don’t see any official number.

chelseaboys   •   Mon Apr 11 2011 at 07:57am PDT

Thanks you for this info. I would agree with your conclusion and ask that the marketmaker pay it out as no rather than have the inkles tied up as much as 2 more years. Had I known that it would take that long, I would have cashed out well before the close of the market (or, never played the market).

chelseaboys   •   Mon Apr 11 2011 at 07:16am PDT

This needs to be resolved. I do not even know where to find the answer.

McLovin   •   Wed Dec 16 2009 at 08:39am PST

Whoever is running this, would you pay it out since it is closed?

Polyergic   •   Sat Nov 14 2009 at 04:49pm PST

Why is this closed already?

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).