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Which Millennium Prize problem will be solved next?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture

(closed)

Predicted: 15.84%

Actual: 15.84%

Hodge conjecture

(closed)

Predicted: 12.97%

Actual: 12.97%

Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness

(closed)

Predicted: 16.49%

Actual: 16.49%

P versus NP problem

(closed)

Predicted: 15.29%

Actual: 15.29%

Riemann hypothesis

(closed)

Predicted: 25.61%

Actual: 25.61%

Yang-Mills existence and mass gap

(closed)

Predicted: 13.77%

Actual: 13.77%

  • refunded

Question ends

April 24, 2020 @ 07:30pm PDT

topic

Science

Predictions Made

127

Most by: ChloeBurns (81 predictions)

Discussion

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benthinkin (ADMIN)   •   Mon Oct 26 2015 at 09:29am PDT

This question has been refunded due to its long timeframe.

GradualStudent   •   Mon Sep 19 2011 at 08:52pm PDT

Overlap with another market? (http://home.inklingmarkets.com/markets/6399)

Rationales

"Arbitrage with identical market and different prices"

GradualStudent sold Hodge conjecture at 16.58%
October 22, 2011 @ 07:36pm PDT

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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