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By what date will the last 2010 mid-term Senate race winner be announced?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Nov 15 - 20, 2010

(closed)

Predicted: 12.79%

Actual: 0.00%

Nov 2 - 3, 2010

(closed)

Predicted: 10.23%

Actual: 0.00%

Nov 21, 2010 or later

(closed)

Predicted: 87.21%

Actual: 100.00%

Nov 4 - 8, 2010

(closed)

Predicted: 17.25%

Actual: 0.00%

Nov 9 - 14, 2010

(closed)

Predicted: 1.17%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 15, 2010 @ 07:00pm PST

Predictions Made

17

Most by: SneakyPete (7 predictions)

Discussion

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SneakyPete   •   Wed Nov 17 2010 at 03:50pm PST

It appears, that Lisa Murkowski will win the Alaska Senate race, based on the vote count. However the race has yet to be certified and Joe Miller has stated that he’s not conceding and will decide later if he’ll ask for a recount.

SneakyPete   •   Mon Nov 08 2010 at 12:35pm PST

They must be bringing the votes in by “Dog Sled” in order to get a final count.

wstritt   •   Mon Oct 25 2010 at 11:05am PDT

Just for clarification, as I recall from last election round, many states have procedures where the actual vote is not “certified” or declared official until days or weeks after the actual results are known. For example, in Massachusetts To ensure that all overseas ballots have been counted, town clerks in Massachusetts must wait at least 10 days and no more than 15 before delivering a final tally to the secretary of state…

I’m assuming that isn’t the hurdle you had in mind unless the results were actively being contested by one of the participants. Is that a good assumption?

SneakyPete   •   Mon Oct 25 2010 at 11:18am PDT

You are correct…. Question is addressing only those races which may be in a contested state, and not an administrative issue, such as you mentioned.

Rationales

"The Alaska "Vote Count" will be draging the settlement of the race for a while yet."

SneakyPete sold Nov 15 - 20, 2010 at 39.52%
November 13, 2010 @ 12:02pm PST

"The race is going to drag on and on and on."

SneakyPete bought Nov 21, 2010 or later at 44.45%
November 13, 2010 @ 11:59am PST

historical trend

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