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NFL: 45 Props for Super Bowl XLV

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

1 team will not score a TD

(closed)

Predicted: 0.23%

Actual: 0.00%

A QB will get a boo boo and "tag out"

(closed)

Predicted: 2.20%

Actual: 0.00%

Aguilera sings the national ant < 1m 50s

(closed)

Predicted: 47.41%

Actual: 0.00%

Any punt hits the jumbotron

(closed)

Predicted: 2.59%

Actual: 0.00%

Attendance > 103,985

(closed)

Predicted: 69.77%

Actual: 0.00%

Between the teams, >2 challenges made

(closed)

Predicted: 31.26%

Actual: 0.00%

Clay Matthews gets a sack

(closed)

Predicted: 57.84%

Actual: 0.00%

Coin flip does NOT result in a deferral

(closed)

Predicted: 51.50%

Actual: 0.00%

FG made > 45 yds

(closed)

Predicted: 44.92%

Actual: 0.00%

Failed PAT

(closed)

Predicted: 6.94%

Actual: 0.00%

First Ad after kickoff will sell Beer

(closed)

Predicted: 16.53%

Actual: 100.00%

Game is over by 9:30 CST

(closed)

Predicted: 52.40%

Actual: 100.00%

Halftime > 30 minutes

(closed)

Predicted: 68.23%

Actual: 100.00%

Jennings will have the most receiving yd

(closed)

Predicted: 25.28%

Actual: 0.00%

Lamar Woodley gets a sack

(closed)

Predicted: 40.00%

Actual: 100.00%

Last team to score wins game

(closed)

Predicted: 38.70%

Actual: 38.70%

No Quarter will be scoreless

(closed)

Predicted: 69.85%

Actual: 100.00%

Offensive TD > 50 yards

(closed)

Predicted: 42.07%

Actual: 0.00%

Packers player will catch the first pass

(closed)

Predicted: 1.67%

Actual: 0.00%

Packers will cover

(closed)

Predicted: 72.72%

Actual: 100.00%

Packers will get the first penalty

(closed)

Predicted: 2.53%

Actual: 0.00%

Packers will have the longest TD

(closed)

Predicted: 70.44%

Actual: 100.00%

Packers will score 3 times in a row

(closed)

Predicted: 13.85%

Actual: 0.00%

Packers will score first

(closed)

Predicted: 99.62%

Actual: 100.00%

Rashard Mendenhal total yards > 125

(closed)

Predicted: 39.94%

Actual: 0.00%

Rodgers > 1 Interception

(closed)

Predicted: 41.39%

Actual: 0.00%

Rodgers will have the most passing yards

(closed)

Predicted: 79.32%

Actual: 100.00%

Roethlisberger > 1 Interception

(closed)

Predicted: 99.20%

Actual: 100.00%

Roethlisberger sacks > Rodgers sacks

(closed)

Predicted: 47.91%

Actual: 0.00%

Steelers have greater penalty yards

(closed)

Predicted: 69.85%

Actual: 0.00%

Steelers will be up at the half

(closed)

Predicted: 7.99%

Actual: 0.00%

Steelers will call 1st Timeout

(closed)

Predicted: 11.88%

Actual: 0.00%

Steelers will commit 1st turnover

(closed)

Predicted: 96.53%

Actual: 100.00%

Team scores after 2 min warn of 1st half

(closed)

Predicted: 96.75%

Actual: 100.00%

Team that scores first will win

(closed)

Predicted: 57.45%

Actual: 100.00%

Team up at half will win

(closed)

Predicted: 56.37%

Actual: 100.00%

The first score will be a field goal

(closed)

Predicted: 1.85%

Actual: 0.00%

There will be OT

(closed)

Predicted: 13.76%

Actual: 0.00%

There will be a Special Teams TD

(closed)

Predicted: 18.49%

Actual: 0.00%

There will be a defensive TD

(closed)

Predicted: 97.93%

Actual: 100.00%

There will be a safety

(closed)

Predicted: 11.76%

Actual: 0.00%

There will be a successful 2pt conver

(closed)

Predicted: 16.03%

Actual: 100.00%

There will be a successful challenge

(closed)

Predicted: 25.74%

Actual: 0.00%

Total combined score > 45.5

(closed)

Predicted: 50.50%

Actual: 100.00%

Winning team's score >27

(closed)

Predicted: 93.34%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

February 06, 2011 @ 05:00pm PST

topic

Sports

Predictions Made

273

Most by: Imants_Dimants (78 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

ChloeBurns   •   Sun Feb 06 2011 at 08:57pm PST

I must disagree with how you settled “Last team to score wins game.” I see now that you intended the team to score the last point but interpreted this as the last team to score its first point and sold accordingly.

chelseaboys   •   Mon Feb 07 2011 at 07:09am PST

At first I didn’t understand your point; but upon further reflection I do. I certainly didn’t mean it your way; however, I must agree that the language I used is subject to both interpretations. So, I will refund it.

philculp   •   Mon Feb 07 2011 at 07:17am PST

It was actually quite clear what was meant. Not everything that is misunderstood by one need be refunded to all. But, OK.

chelseaboys   •   Mon Feb 07 2011 at 07:54am PST

Well, that was my initial take and I almost went to you as a neutral; however, since I didn’t bet that stock, I figured I was probably more neutral than you!

Plus, it really can be understood both ways. Next year I’ll say “Team that scores the final point of the game wins”.

MFWinAlford   •   Mon Feb 07 2011 at 08:28am PST

I wish I had bought more shares in the beer commercial and the 2-pointer! Where I messed up (and lost inkles) was the 9:30 one — I think in ET and completely missed that it clearly said CST!

As to Chloe’s point, I’m not sure I agree it was confusing (but don’t really care since I didn’t bet on that one) — it you had meant “the 2nd team to score” you could have said that, but there was already a stock to cover that — the other way around — by asking if the Pack would score 1st. Whatever!

ChloeBurns   •   Mon Feb 07 2011 at 07:14am PST

Thanks you for your quick response. Actually, I am not sure how one would phrase that more clearly. Darn english language!

chelseaboys   •   Mon Feb 07 2011 at 08:21am PST

No problem. I want to stop thinking about the Cheese team as soon as possible!

philculp   •   Thu Jan 27 2011 at 08:59pm PST

not sure how i missed this! Great market! Should be fun, esp being in-play!

Rationales

"Not after the Bears debacle"

chelseaboys bought Coin flip does NOT result in a deferral at 50.00%
January 26, 2011 @ 08:05am PST

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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More information about the possible answers

A QB will get a boo boo and "tag out"

Aguilera sings the national ant < 1m 50s

Any punt hits the jumbotron

Attendance > 103,985

Between the teams, >2 challenges made

Clay Matthews gets a sack

Failed PAT

Halftime > 30 minutes

Lamar Woodley gets a sack

Packers will cover

Packers will have the longest TD

Packers will score 3 times in a row

Steelers will call 1st Timeout

Team scores after 2 min warn of 1st half

There will be a successful challenge