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Which of these Southern European heads of government will be the last to leave office?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Borut Pahor, Slovenia Prime Minister

(closed)

Predicted: 0.86%

Actual: 0.00%

George Papandreou, Greece Prime Minister

(closed)

Predicted: 0.19%

Actual: 0.00%

Giovanni Lajolo, Vatican City President

(closed)

Predicted: 7.80%

Actual: 0.00%

Igor Luksic, Montenegro Prime Minister

(closed)

Predicted: 5.04%

Actual: 0.00%

Jadranka Kosor, Croatia Prime Minister

(closed)

Predicted: 0.88%

Actual: 0.00%

Jaume Bartumeu, Andorra Prime Minister

(closed)

Predicted: 6.88%

Actual: 0.00%

Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, Spain PM

(closed)

Predicted: 0.22%

Actual: 0.00%

Jose Socrates, Portugal PM

(closed)

Predicted: 4.78%

Actual: 0.00%

Lawrence Gonzi, Malta PM

(closed)

Predicted: 0.30%

Actual: 0.00%

Mirko Cvetkovic, Serbia Prime Minister

(closed)

Predicted: 5.75%

Actual: 0.00%

Nikola Gruevski, Macedonia PM

(closed)

Predicted: 96.90%

Actual: 100.00%

Nikola Spiric, Bosnia-Herzegovina PM

(closed)

Predicted: 12.19%

Actual: 0.00%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey PM

(closed)

Predicted: 3.10%

Actual: 0.00%

Sali Berisha, Albania PM

(closed)

Predicted: 0.18%

Actual: 0.00%

Silvio Berlusconi, Italy Prime Minister

(closed)

Predicted: 0.43%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 07, 2020 @ 04:00pm PST

Predictions Made

74

Most by: wstritt (45 predictions)

Discussion

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wstritt   •   Wed Aug 13 2014 at 05:57am PDT

Erdogan will step down as Prime Minister when he is sworn in as President on August 28th.

http://online.wsj.com/articles/turks-cast-votes-in-presidential-election-with-erdogan-primed-for-win-1407658125

wstritt   •   Wed Aug 13 2014 at 05:59am PDT

Auto-correct is really annoying at times.

wstritt   •   Thu Mar 14 2013 at 05:34pm PDT

Lajolo has been gone for awhile as well.

wstritt   •   Thu Dec 01 2011 at 06:10pm PST

Spain has turned over though new PM won’t be official in until December 20. Croatia and Slovenia incumbents likely to fall in elections on Sunday 12/4.

wstritt   •   Sun Dec 11 2011 at 07:55am PST

onedave   •   Sun Nov 13 2011 at 12:25pm PST

Unless a leader dies, I wait for the successor to take office before cashing out.

wstritt   •   Sat Nov 12 2011 at 01:20pm PST

wstritt   •   Thu Nov 10 2011 at 03:18pm PST

onedave   •   Sat Mar 26 2011 at 07:04pm PDT

Socrates has submitted his resignation. However, I have not found any sources saying that he has left office. So, I will undo the cash-out of him.

historical trend

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More information about the possible answers

Borut Pahor, Slovenia Prime Minister

George Papandreou, Greece Prime Minister

Giovanni Lajolo, Vatican City President

Igor Luksic, Montenegro Prime Minister

Jadranka Kosor, Croatia Prime Minister

Jaume Bartumeu, Andorra Prime Minister

Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, Spain PM

Jose Socrates, Portugal PM

Lawrence Gonzi, Malta PM

Mirko Cvetkovic, Serbia Prime Minister

Nikola Gruevski, Macedonia PM

Nikola Spiric, Bosnia-Herzegovina PM

Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey PM

Sali Berisha, Albania PM

Silvio Berlusconi, Italy Prime Minister