Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Next

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Next

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

Kentucky Derby Future Pool 3

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

1 Animal Kingdom

(closed)

Predicted: 3.80%

Actual: 100.00%

2 Anthony's Cross

(closed)

Predicted: 3.88%

Actual: 0.00%

3 Astrology

(closed)

Predicted: 1.16%

Actual: 0.00%

4 Brethren

(closed)

Predicted: 1.12%

Actual: 0.00%

6 Dialed In

(closed)

Predicted: 12.88%

Actual: 0.00%

7 Decisive Moment

(closed)

Predicted: 3.88%

Actual: 0.00%

8 Elite Alex

(closed)

Predicted: 1.16%

Actual: 0.00%

9 Jaycito

(closed)

Predicted: 0.52%

Actual: 0.00%

10 Mr. Commons

(closed)

Predicted: 3.72%

Actual: 0.00%

11 Mucho Macho Man

(closed)

Predicted: 4.64%

Actual: 0.00%

12 Nehro

(closed)

Predicted: 5.78%

Actual: 0.00%

13 Pants On Fire

(closed)

Predicted: 5.78%

Actual: 0.00%

14 Premier Pegasus

(closed)

Predicted: 0.23%

Actual: 0.00%

15 Santiva

(closed)

Predicted: 3.88%

Actual: 0.00%

16 Silver Medallion

(closed)

Predicted: 1.67%

Actual: 0.00%

17 Soldat

(closed)

Predicted: 11.99%

Actual: 0.00%

18 Stay Thirsty

(closed)

Predicted: 6.17%

Actual: 0.00%

19 The Factor

(closed)

Predicted: 1.16%

Actual: 0.00%

20 To Honor and Serve

(closed)

Predicted: 1.31%

Actual: 0.00%

21 Twice the Appeal

(closed)

Predicted: 8.63%

Actual: 0.00%

22 Uncle Mo

(closed)

Predicted: 4.01%

Actual: 0.00%

23 Watch Me Go

(closed)

Predicted: 3.88%

Actual: 0.00%

24 All Other Three Year Olds

(closed)

Predicted: 8.63%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

May 03, 2011 @ 06:59am PDT

topic

Sports

Predictions Made

54

Most by: MFWinAlford (21 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

chelseaboys   •   Thu Apr 28 2011 at 09:11am PDT

BTW, are you going to do a final market once the field is set?

MFWinAlford   •   Thu Apr 28 2011 at 10:09am PDT

Yes, I plan to submit the “real thing” for the Kentucky Derby once the post positions have been drawn — I believe that will happen next Wednesday…

chelseaboys   •   Mon Apr 18 2011 at 05:35am PDT

But, if ‘at the track’ reality is your goal, why not call the two disabled horses ‘scratched’ and pay them out at 0?

MFWinAlford   •   Thu Apr 28 2011 at 08:51am PDT

Oops, just noticed your query — sorry for the slow response! The way the Future Pools work at Churchill Downs is that there are no refunds.

chelseaboys   •   Thu Apr 28 2011 at 09:10am PDT

I know you are shooting for the at the track feel; but here in Inkling-reality, we usually cash out the obvious losers.

MFWinAlford   •   Thu Apr 28 2011 at 10:08am PDT

Nice new avatar! As long as someone beats King James I don’t care who does it.

Good point about the cash-out — but since I said I would imitate the track rules, I’ll stick with that — only a few more days. If I do it again, I may remember to put in your suggestion.

chelseaboys   •   Tue Apr 12 2011 at 07:29am PDT

MFWinAlford   •   Sun Apr 17 2011 at 02:19pm PDT

Yes, so is To Honor and Serve, making them both good shorts here. They cannot win this pool, but, as is true at the track, I won’t be refunding or removing them from the action…

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
Help
Ajax-loader

More information about the possible answers

1 Animal Kingdom

2 Anthony's Cross

3 Astrology

4 Brethren

6 Dialed In

7 Decisive Moment

8 Elite Alex

9 Jaycito

10 Mr. Commons

11 Mucho Macho Man

12 Nehro

13 Pants On Fire

14 Premier Pegasus

15 Santiva

16 Silver Medallion

17 Soldat

18 Stay Thirsty

19 The Factor

20 To Honor and Serve

21 Twice the Appeal

22 Uncle Mo

23 Watch Me Go

24 All Other Three Year Olds