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How will the April 15, 2011, U.S. federal budget vote be resolved?




Budget is adopted by 14 April 2011


Predicted: 90.53%

Actual: 90.53%

Continuing resolution adopted


Predicted: 4.69%

Actual: 4.69%

Government shutdown occurs


Predicted: 4.78%

Actual: 4.78%

  • refunded

Question ends

April 15, 2011 @ 08:00pm PDT

Predictions Made


Most by: AxmxZ (3 predictions)


mvguy   •   Sat Apr 09 2011 at 06:42am PDT

I’ve refunded this market; I hadn’t intended for it to go live yet but apparently I clicked in the wrong place. Before this was going live, I had intended for the date in the market to be correct (spending authority expires on the 15th, not the 14th) and to reword something in case there was a repeat of the events of April 8-9.

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).