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How many US Senate Democrats, will vote YES on the US House 2012 budget bill, by 3 June 2011?




1 - 3 vote yes.


Predicted: 25.00

Actual: 0.00

4 or more vote yes.


Predicted: 5.00

Actual: 4.00

Budget bill does not come up for a vote.


Predicted: 20.80

Actual: 0.00

None vote yes.


Predicted: 19.60

Actual: 0.00

  • completed

Question ends

May 25, 2011 @ 03:23pm PDT

Predictions Made


Most by: SneakyPete (29 predictions)


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fester986   •   Wed May 25 2011 at 06:39pm PDT

Sneaky Pete - I was long on “None Vote Yes” and short on Budget Bill does not come up for a vote. However on the cash-out, I lost all the money on my long despite the fact that zero (0) Democratic senators voted for the bill. Please investigate and correct.

SneakyPete   •   Wed May 25 2011 at 03:14pm PDT

Senate Votes Down House Budget Plan

The Senate has rejected a controversial House budget plan for turning Medicare into a voucher-like program for future beneficiaries.

Five Republicans joined every Democrat in killing the measure, which calls for transforming Medicare into a program in which future beneficiaries — people now 54 years old and younger — would be given a subsidy to purchase health insurance rather than have the government directly pay hospital and doctor

Read more:

fester986   •   Wed Apr 27 2011 at 12:01pm PDT

Reid looks like he will force a vote on the House budget bill. I’m long on NO Dem votes, so I think the more interesting question is how many GOP Senators vote against the Ryan budget.

SneakyPete   •   Wed Apr 27 2011 at 12:18pm PDT

Better question could be is, how many Demovrats will vote FOR the Ryan budget. 23 Democratic Senate sets are up for re-election in 2012. Time will tell.

chelseaboys   •   Mon Apr 18 2011 at 02:54pm PDT

Apparently these answers are not mutually exclusive as they add up to >100. Are they all independent of each other? I just answered my own question by making a quick buy and sell. They are all independent.

I’m not too sure that is what you intended, because logically, all 4 answers are mutually exclusive. By that I mean that no two answers can be @ 100 in the end except for the probable unintended overlap between 1-3 and 3.

SneakyPete   •   Mon Apr 18 2011 at 05:49pm PDT

You are correct. I intended to have the answers to be independent of each other. I corrected ny error on the overlapping of answers. Thanks for your good comments. Good evening.

fester986   •   Sun Apr 17 2011 at 04:40am PDT

Figure it will come up for a vote as this is a perfect wedge issue for the Democrats to make the “moderate” Republicans take - do you vote to dismantle Medicare or do you invite a Teabagging in the primary.

historical trend

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