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Will UK voters vote to approve the Alternative Vote (AV) referendum on 5 May 2011?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Yes

(closed)

Predicted: 22.45%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

May 04, 2011 @ 07:00pm PDT

Predictions Made

24

Most by: SneakyPete (4 predictions)

Discussion

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SneakyPete   •   Sun May 08 2011 at 05:02pm PDT

Vote 2011…. SNP Wins the market
ScotlandPARTY CONST REGN TOTAL +/-
SNP 53 16 69 +23
LAB 15 22 37 -7
CON 3 12 15 -5
LD 2 3 5 -12
OTH 0 3 3 +1

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics

SneakyPete   •   Sat May 07 2011 at 05:33am PDT

The Alternative Vote (AV) referendum on 5 May 2011 went down in defeat by the UK voters.

SneakyPete   •   Fri May 06 2011 at 03:31pm PDT

Vote 2011: UK rejects alternative vote…..Un-Offical Results.

The UK has voted overwhelmingly to reject changing the way MPs are elected – dealing a bitter blow to Nick Clegg on top of heavy Lib Dem poll losses.

Officials say 19.1m people voted in the second UK-wide referendum in history – a higher than expected turnout of 41%.

With votes still being counted, the No campaign is on course to get 69%.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-13297573

I will cash out when “Official Results” are announced…….

Rationales

"Like the statis quo"

n$wu7Ace sold at 23.15%
May 04, 2011 @ 11:04am PDT

"guessed"

aR$ee6ah sold at 50.00%
April 27, 2011 @ 09:28pm PDT

historical trend

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