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How many Hurricanes, having winds 110 miles per hour or higher, will take place in the The NOAA Atlantic hurricane tracking region, between 1 June and 30 November 2011?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Eight to Nine.

(closed)

Predicted: 0.30%

Actual: 0.00%

Four to Five.

(closed)

Predicted: 98.82%

Actual: 100.00%

Six to Seven.

(closed)

Predicted: 0.79%

Actual: 0.00%

Ten or more.

(closed)

Predicted: 0.09%

Actual: 0.00%

Three or less including "None".

(closed)

Predicted: 0.29%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

November 27, 2011 @ 09:45am PST

Predictions Made

219

Most by: MFWinAlford (76 predictions)

Discussion

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SneakyPete   •   Wed Nov 30 2011 at 09:15am PST

4 Hurricanes, having winds 110 miles per hour or higher, took place in the The NOAA Atlantic hurricane tracking region, between 1 June and 30 November 2011.

job   •   Tue Nov 29 2011 at 06:32am PST

The Question can be closed, it is not possible anymore to have more than five hurricanes before Dec 1!

job   •   Fri Oct 28 2011 at 04:28am PDT

“Three or less” can be payed out!

job   •   Tue Oct 25 2011 at 02:25pm PDT

HURRICANE RINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10
INIT 25/2100Z 17.4N 84.3W 95 KT 110 MPH

Rina is number 4 with winds of 110 miles per hour or higher!

SneakyPete   •   Wed Sep 07 2011 at 09:30am PDT

We have seen two hurricanes, having winds 110 miles per hour or higher, take place in the The NOAA Atlantic hurricane tracking region, so far this season:
(Cat 3, 120MPH at 2PM EDT 8/24)
Katia (Cat 4, 135MPH at 11PM AST 9/5)

SneakyPete   •   Thu Aug 25 2011 at 09:58am PDT

Hurricane Irene is the fist to pass the 2011 110 mile per hour mark.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml#IRENE

chelseaboys   •   Tue Sep 06 2011 at 08:30am PDT

Katia # 2 @ 135.

MFWinAlford   •   Tue Aug 16 2011 at 04:59pm PDT

What if there are none?

onedave   •   Tue Aug 16 2011 at 05:42pm PDT

Good question. We can add the zero option or we would have to cancel the question if there are none.

MFWinAlford   •   Tue Aug 16 2011 at 06:17pm PDT

Who’s “we”? You working with SneakyPete on this one? Why not just change “One to Three” to “Less than Four”?

SneakyPete   •   Tue Aug 23 2011 at 01:57pm PDT

Good option, “Less than Four”, will do. Thanks.

onedave   •   Tue Aug 16 2011 at 06:24pm PDT

I am not working with SneakyPete on this one.

SneakyPete   •   Tue May 24 2011 at 01:04pm PDT

See Also: http://home.inklingmarkets.com/markets/36372
Thanks to chelseaboys  who has provided additional data on the 2011 Hurricane Season: http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/05/19/hurricane.season/index.html?hpt=T2

historical trend

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