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Which horse will win the 2011 Belmont Stakes?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

1 Master of Hounds [10-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 7.25%

Actual: 0.00%

2 Stay Thirsty [20-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 2.12%

Actual: 0.00%

3 Ruler On Ice [20-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 2.04%

Actual: 100.00%

4 Santiva [15-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 3.40%

Actual: 0.00%

5 Brilliant Speed [15-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 3.91%

Actual: 0.00%

6 Nehro [4-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 16.20%

Actual: 0.00%

7 Monzon [30-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 1.01%

Actual: 0.00%

8 Prime Cut [15-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 3.40%

Actual: 0.00%

9 Animal Kingdom [2-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 34.24%

Actual: 0.00%

10 Mucho Macho Man [10-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 6.05%

Actual: 0.00%

11 Isn't He Perfect [30-1]

(closed)

Predicted: 2.05%

Actual: 0.00%

12 Shakleford [9-2]

(closed)

Predicted: 18.27%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

June 11, 2011 @ 03:00pm PDT

topic

Sports

Predictions Made

42

Most by: MFWinAlford (16 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

MFWinAlford   •   Sat Jun 11 2011 at 04:14pm PDT

Belmont order of finish:
1. Ruler On Ice
2. Stay Thirsty
3. Brilliant Speed
4. Nehro
5. Shackleford
6. Animal Kingdom
7. Mucho Macho Man
8. Santiva
9. Monzon
10. Master of Hounds
11. Prime Cut
12. Isn’t He Perfect

MFWinAlford   •   Sat Jun 11 2011 at 11:19am PDT

From the DRF:
ELMONT, N.Y. – There is a real possibility Saturday’s 143rd Belmont Stakes will be run over a wet track.

Overnight rains left Belmont’s track muddy for the first few races and with temperatures in the high 60s to low 70s and no sunshine, it isn’t ideal for drying out.

Decided longshots Monzon and Ruler On Ice are the only two horses in the Belmont field that show a win over a wet track. Shackleford has the breeding to suggest he would handle it fine. The jury is out on whether Animal Kingdom is bred for an off track, but he certainly hasn’t found a surface yet that he hasn’t handled.

All six scheduled turf races remain on the grass, and the courses are labeled good.

Belmont Stakes odds (as of 1:30 p.m. Eastern)

1. Master of Hounds, 9-2
2. Stay Thirsty, 16-1
3. Ruler On Ice, 31-1
4. Santiva, 13-1
5. Brilliant Speed, 9-1
6. Nehro, 4-1
7. Monzon, 26-1
8. Prime Cut, 21-1
9. Animal Kingdom, 3-1
10. Mucho Macho Man, 7-1
11. Isn’t He Perfect, 32-1
12. Shackleford, 10-1

MFW Comments: Note that Master of Hounds and Shakleford have switched places in terms of odds, despite the comment that Shakleford should be able to handle a muddy track.

This is probably because of an article published in the DRF by Steven Crist a couple of days ago, in which he said he wouldn’t bet on Animal Kingdom at under 2-1, and would consider Master of Hounds to be a good longshot bet. My guess is that he has such a devoted following that many bettors followed his advice, which ironically has made it null and void (at least as of now — the odds could change a lot in 4 hours!).

http://www.drf.com/news/belmont-favorite-worth-looking-past

MFWinAlford   •   Wed Jun 08 2011 at 12:03pm PDT

I forgot to mention that the odds given [in brackets] are the Morning Line odds from the track. The DRF odds and commentary can be found here:

http://www.drf.com/news/belmont-stakes-2011-field

historical trend

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More information about the possible answers

9 Animal Kingdom [2-1]

12 Shakleford [9-2]