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Will the right-wing Nationalist Action Party (MHP) led by Devlet Bahceli win 55 (10%) or more of the seats in Turkey's general assembly?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Yes

(closed)

Predicted: 48.51%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

June 12, 2011 @ 01:50pm PDT

Predictions Made

5

Most by: ecotax (2 predictions)

Discussion

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DrStech   •   Mon Jun 13 2011 at 09:40am PDT

Despite an early uptick on YES on Saturday, the market dropped to NO as voting took place on Sunday. A close one: 13.4% of the votes and 56 seats, but the crowd just missed it.

DrStech   •   Mon Jun 13 2011 at 09:35am PDT

Although the MHP overcame the national election threshold of 10 percent by receiving 13.4 percent of the vote, support for the party had decreased when compared to the results of the 2007 general elections when the party received 14.7 percent of the vote and won 71 seats in Parliament. The MHP won 56 seats in Sunday’s general elections.
Bahçeli unlikely to retain his seat after June 12 http://www.todayszaman.com/news-247178-bahceli-unlikely-to-retain-his-seat-after-june-12.html
13 June 2011, Monday / ERCAN YAVUZ, ANKARA

DrStech   •   Sun Jun 12 2011 at 09:12am PDT

Voting ends in Turkey parliamentary elections aljazeera.net
Counting under way in Turkey as incumbent prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s party hopes to win third straight term.
Media restrictions: The country’s electoral board, the YSK, has restricted media reporting until 9pm (18:00 GMT) on Sunday.
Parties need to win at least a 10 per cent share of the national vote to be elected to parliament.
Almost 85 per cent of eligible voters participated in the last elections in 2007.
Last Modified: 12 Jun 2011 15:35 http://english.aljazeera.net/news/europe/2011/06/2011612141441287672.html

DrStech   •   Sun Jun 12 2011 at 09:07am PDT

This market will close when the election results are declared official in Turkey.

Rationales

"Unfortunately."

char bought at 50.00%
June 11, 2011 @ 04:21pm PDT

historical trend

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