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In this market you are asked to predict which films of 2012 will rank in the top 20 at the domestic box office. The number is based on the total earned through March 31, 2013. A film is considered to have opened in 2012 if it is listed as such at Box Office Mojo. If Box Office Mojo is no longer providing such data, the 2012 films will be considered to be those eligible for Academy Awards in 2013.
The market will be cashed out based on the numbers listed at Box Office Mojo. If Box Office Mojo ceases to provide the numbers, the cashout will be based on The Numbers.
Other films may be added to the list throughout the year. If you would like a film added to the list, please post in the comments section or send en e-mail to the market creator.
If a film’s opening is delayed beyond the end of 2012, it will cash out at $0. Other films may also cash out at $0 if their box-office records clearly indicate, in the judgment of the market creator, that they will rank below 20th place among the films that have already opened. (This usually occurs when a later-opening film knocks an earlier film out of the top 20.) A film that is considered a likely Oscars contender may remain in the market longer because of possible revenue in 2013. If a film cashes out at $0 but then appears that it could indeed end up inthe top 20, its cashout will be reversed. If a film reaches $225 million, it will automatically cash out at $100. Thus it is theoretically possible, although unlikely, for more than 20 films to cash out at $100. Late in the year, top films may be cashed out early if they appear to have clinched a top-20 spot.
Important note: As I have in similar markets, I intend to provide information in the listing about each film's standing, based on published reports and weekend projections. I include this information as a courtesy only; although I will endeavor to be accurate, I assume no responsibility for errors. A tilde (~) in a listing indicates the number is an estimate or projection.
Market creator's participation: The market creator will be participating in this market after the market has been open for at least 48 hours. In order to be fair to all, I will abide by these restrictions: If I add a film to the list, I will attempt to make the opening price realistic. If I add a film to the list, I will not put inkles on that film for at least 48 hours afterward. I will not cash out any films less than 48 hours after placing inkles on them.