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What will happen first: the Dow Jones rises above 14000, or the Dow Jones falls below 10000?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

The Dow Jones closes below 10000 first

(closed)

Predicted: 0.02%

Actual: 0.00%

The Dow Jones closes above 14000 first

(closed)

Predicted: 99.98%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

January 01, 2021 @ 03:45am PST

Predictions Made

129

Most by: job (89 predictions)

Discussion

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ecotax   •   Sun Nov 04 2012 at 02:09pm PST

Three months constantly above 13000 – still no 14000 though.

ecotax   •   Sat Aug 25 2012 at 08:09am PDT

Three weeks constantly above 13000.

ecotax   •   Sat Jun 02 2012 at 11:14am PDT

Half a year down the road, and we’re back in the middle again…

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
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