Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Next

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Next

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

Which of the following candidates will be next to withdraw from the race for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

Rick Santorum

(closed)

Predicted: 99.70%

Actual: 100.00%

Ron Paul

(closed)

Predicted: 0.08%

Actual: 0.00%

Newt Gingrich

(closed)

Predicted: 0.22%

Actual: 0.00%

Mitt Romney

(closed)

Predicted: 0.00%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

July 01, 2012 @ 10:00am PDT

Predictions Made

197

Most by: ecotax (18 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

bobdevine   •   Tue Apr 10 2012 at 11:19am PDT

Santorum just (April 10) suspended his campaign.

MFWinAlford   •   Tue Feb 07 2012 at 07:41pm PST

Santorum is kicking ass (oh, wait, I guess that’s something only Democrats can do!) — okay, he’s got about 50% of the vote in the early counting in Colorado and Minnesota. If that holds up, that will be a big boost for him. Also, it will bring into question the Mittster’s viability in the Midwest.

So far, it’s about a 3-way tie amongst the other 3, which is probably not good news for either Willard or Newt.

http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/calendar

SneakyPete   •   Tue Feb 07 2012 at 08:09pm PST

Yes he is…. Perhaps a triple win in the making. Surprise across the board.

Rationales

"Newt will be lucky to make it to Super Tuesday!"

MFWinAlford bought Newt Gingrich at 39.41%
February 07, 2012 @ 06:50pm PST

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
Help
Ajax-loader