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What will the margin of victory of the first place over the second place candidate be in the Pennsylvania primary being held on 24 April 2012?




7.99% or less


Predicted: 2.70%

Actual: 0.00%

8.00 % -12.99%


Predicted: 18.18%

Actual: 0.00%

13.00% - 17.99%


Predicted: 29.50%

Actual: 0.00%

18% or greater


Predicted: 49.62%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

April 22, 2012 @ 09:59pm PDT

Predictions Made


Most by: job (12 predictions)


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SneakyPete   •   Tue Apr 24 2012 at 08:03pm PDT

Rick Santorum came in SECOND PLACE in Pennsylvania with 18.9% of th vote behind Mitt Romney’s 57.4% a difference of 38.5%.

MFWinAlford   •   Thu Mar 29 2012 at 02:35am PDT

How is this different from your other market?

SneakyPete   •   Sat Mar 31 2012 at 09:32am PDT

Good catch. I have inadvertently created two similar markets. This one and the one you indicated created last December. I have opted to leave both open, based on participation in both, to be fair

historical trend

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