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What will the margin of victory of the first place over the second place candidate be in the Pennsylvania primary being held on 24 April 2012?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

7.99% or less

(closed)

Predicted: 2.70%

Actual: 0.00%

8.00 % -12.99%

(closed)

Predicted: 18.18%

Actual: 0.00%

13.00% - 17.99%

(closed)

Predicted: 29.50%

Actual: 0.00%

18% or greater

(closed)

Predicted: 49.62%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

April 22, 2012 @ 09:59pm PDT

Predictions Made

68

Most by: job (12 predictions)

Discussion

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SneakyPete   •   Tue Apr 24 2012 at 08:03pm PDT

Rick Santorum came in SECOND PLACE in Pennsylvania with 18.9% of th vote behind Mitt Romney’s 57.4% a difference of 38.5%.

MFWinAlford   •   Thu Mar 29 2012 at 02:35am PDT

How is this different from your other market? http://home.inklingmarkets.com/markets/42337

SneakyPete   •   Sat Mar 31 2012 at 09:32am PDT

Good catch. I have inadvertently created two similar markets. This one and the one you indicated created last December. I have opted to leave both open, based on participation in both, to be fair

historical trend

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