Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Next

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Next

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

What will the margin of victory of the first place over the second place candidate be in the Texas GOP primary being held on 29 May 2012?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

4.99% or less

(closed)

Predicted: 0.36%

Actual: 0.00%

5.00% - 9.99%

(closed)

Predicted: 0.88%

Actual: 0.00%

10.00% -14.99%

(closed)

Predicted: 3.58%

Actual: 0.00%

15% or greater

(closed)

Predicted: 95.18%

Actual: 100.00%

  • completed

Question ends

May 27, 2012 @ 09:59pm PDT

Predictions Made

59

Most by: SneakyPete (16 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

SneakyPete   •   Wed May 30 2012 at 05:59am PDT

With 99% of the votes counted Mitt Romneys (69.0%) margin of victory over the second place candidate (Ron Paul – 12.0%) in the Texas GOP primary held on 29 May 2012 was 57%. http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/texas

SneakyPete   •   Tue May 29 2012 at 07:03pm PDT

It will be over 15%, but I will cash the market out once 90% of the votes, are counted.

SneakyPete   •   Sat May 19 2012 at 01:35pm PDT

The GOP primary is getting “Down and Dirty” in the final days before the votong which taks place on 29 May 2012.

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
Help
Ajax-loader