Inkling Public Site

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Next

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Next

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

What will the margin of victory of the first place over the second place candidate be in the Wisconsin primary being held on 3 April 2012?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

PREDICTED CHANCE

TODAY

6.99% or less

(closed)

Predicted: 11.59%

Actual: 100.00%

7.00% - 11.99%

(closed)

Predicted: 63.64%

Actual: 0.00%

12.00% - 14.99%

(closed)

Predicted: 18.41%

Actual: 0.00%

15% or greater

(closed)

Predicted: 6.35%

Actual: 0.00%

  • completed

Question ends

April 01, 2012 @ 09:59pm PDT

Predictions Made

43

Most by: job (9 predictions)

Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

SneakyPete   •   Wed Apr 04 2012 at 06:34am PDT

With 98% of the Wisconsin votes counted, Romney had 42.5% of the votes, Santorum 37.6%, Gingrich 6.1% and Paul 11.7%. Romney won all 37 delegates. (42.5 – 37.6 = 4.9% difference) http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/wisconsin

SneakyPete   •   Tue Apr 03 2012 at 09:43pm PDT

The Wisconsin primary is at only 92% of the votes counted. Will cash out in the morning. http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/wisconsin

historical trend

Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph. You can also hover over any line to see current value at that time. Graphs will begin to show data one hour after the question has been open. The Historical Trend chart does not display all prices ever reached since it is only updated at discrete time intervals, (hourly/daily/weekly, depending on the date range).
Help
Ajax-loader